Recent forecasts from multiple sources project a mostly cloudy September 10 in Qingdao with light northerly winds, yielding an overnight low near 18–22°C as the Yellow Sea moderates coastal cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 23°C-or-higher bin at 41.5% while the 13°C-or-below outcome at 35.5% reflects lingering uncertainty from model spread and potential localized radiational cooling under variable cloud cover. Diurnal temperature ranges remain compressed by on-shore flow and September climatology, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological services showing stable high pressure and no significant frontal passages through the resolution window. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the implied probability distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 10 de setembro?
23°C ou mais alta 86%
20°C 40%
21°C 39%
13°C ou menos 38%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
13°C ou menos
38%
14°C
21%
15°C
27%
16°C
24%
17°C
21%
18°C
21%
19°C
21%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
1%
23°C ou mais alta
86%
23°C ou mais alta 86%
20°C 40%
21°C 39%
13°C ou menos 38%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
13°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
38%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
24%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$25 Vol.
40%
21°C
$25 Vol.
39%
22°C
$25 Vol.
1%
23°C ou mais alta
$50 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple sources project a mostly cloudy September 10 in Qingdao with light northerly winds, yielding an overnight low near 18–22°C as the Yellow Sea moderates coastal cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 23°C-or-higher bin at 41.5% while the 13°C-or-below outcome at 35.5% reflects lingering uncertainty from model spread and potential localized radiational cooling under variable cloud cover. Diurnal temperature ranges remain compressed by on-shore flow and September climatology, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological services showing stable high pressure and no significant frontal passages through the resolution window. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the implied probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$125Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple sources project a mostly cloudy September 10 in Qingdao with light northerly winds, yielding an overnight low near 18–22°C as the Yellow Sea moderates coastal cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 23°C-or-higher bin at 41.5% while the 13°C-or-below outcome at 35.5% reflects lingering uncertainty from model spread and potential localized radiational cooling under variable cloud cover. Diurnal temperature ranges remain compressed by on-shore flow and September climatology, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological services showing stable high pressure and no significant frontal passages through the resolution window. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the implied probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$125Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple sources project a mostly cloudy September 10 in Qingdao with light northerly winds, yielding an overnight low near 18–22°C as the Yellow Sea moderates coastal cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 23°C-or-higher bin at 41.5% while the 13°C-or-below outcome at 35.5% reflects lingering uncertainty from model spread and potential localized radiational cooling under variable cloud cover. Diurnal temperature ranges remain compressed by on-shore flow and September climatology, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological services showing stable high pressure and no significant frontal passages through the resolution window. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the implied probability distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions