Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate a minimum temperature in New York City on September 19 in the low-to-mid 60s°F, driven by northeast winds and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while permitting moderate overnight radiative cooling under moderate humidity. Historical September averages near 60.5°F provide context, yet current conditions reflect a slight cooling trend from recent days with observed lows of 57–67°F. Trader consensus clusters on 60–65°F bins due to typical model spread in boundary-layer details and Central Park's urban microclimate, with resolution depending on the official NWS minimum. New model runs and hourly observations through the night will refine probabilities ahead of market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 19 de setembro?
62-63°F 44%
64-65°F 35%
60-61°F 24%
58-59°F 5%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
55°F ou menos
2%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
44%
64-65°F
35%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F ou superior
1%
62-63°F 44%
64-65°F 35%
60-61°F 24%
58-59°F 5%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
55°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
3%
58-59°F
$63 Vol.
5%
60-61°F
$99 Vol.
24%
62-63°F
$21 Vol.
44%
64-65°F
$178 Vol.
35%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
1%
74°F ou superior
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate a minimum temperature in New York City on September 19 in the low-to-mid 60s°F, driven by northeast winds and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while permitting moderate overnight radiative cooling under moderate humidity. Historical September averages near 60.5°F provide context, yet current conditions reflect a slight cooling trend from recent days with observed lows of 57–67°F. Trader consensus clusters on 60–65°F bins due to typical model spread in boundary-layer details and Central Park's urban microclimate, with resolution depending on the official NWS minimum. New model runs and hourly observations through the night will refine probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$365Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate a minimum temperature in New York City on September 19 in the low-to-mid 60s°F, driven by northeast winds and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while permitting moderate overnight radiative cooling under moderate humidity. Historical September averages near 60.5°F provide context, yet current conditions reflect a slight cooling trend from recent days with observed lows of 57–67°F. Trader consensus clusters on 60–65°F bins due to typical model spread in boundary-layer details and Central Park's urban microclimate, with resolution depending on the official NWS minimum. New model runs and hourly observations through the night will refine probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$365Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate a minimum temperature in New York City on September 19 in the low-to-mid 60s°F, driven by northeast winds and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while permitting moderate overnight radiative cooling under moderate humidity. Historical September averages near 60.5°F provide context, yet current conditions reflect a slight cooling trend from recent days with observed lows of 57–67°F. Trader consensus clusters on 60–65°F bins due to typical model spread in boundary-layer details and Central Park's urban microclimate, with resolution depending on the official NWS minimum. New model runs and hourly observations through the night will refine probabilities ahead of market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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