Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clear skies with light westerly to southwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h limiting strong mixing. These conditions support minimum temperatures near 8–11°C, consistent with trader-implied odds clustered around those thresholds. Milder advection from western air masses has kept readings above seasonal norms, while scattered light rain or drizzle earlier in the period added humidity that moderates temperature drops. Model runs show minor divergence on exact clearing timing and dew-point depression, which directly affects how far the mercury falls before sunrise on the 19th. Updated official guidance from Russian meteorological services and real-time station observations will refine the final recorded low before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 18 de setembro?
8°C 100%
5°C ou menos 90%
7°C 90%
11°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
5°C ou menos
90%
6°C
9%
7°C
90%
8°C
100%
9°C
48%
10°C
48%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C ou mais
<1%
8°C 100%
5°C ou menos 90%
7°C 90%
11°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
5°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
90%
6°C
$0 Vol.
9%
7°C
$15 Vol.
90%
8°C
$25 Vol.
100%
9°C
$0 Vol.
48%
10°C
$5 Vol.
48%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
15°C ou mais
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clear skies with light westerly to southwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h limiting strong mixing. These conditions support minimum temperatures near 8–11°C, consistent with trader-implied odds clustered around those thresholds. Milder advection from western air masses has kept readings above seasonal norms, while scattered light rain or drizzle earlier in the period added humidity that moderates temperature drops. Model runs show minor divergence on exact clearing timing and dew-point depression, which directly affects how far the mercury falls before sunrise on the 19th. Updated official guidance from Russian meteorological services and real-time station observations will refine the final recorded low before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$106Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clear skies with light westerly to southwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h limiting strong mixing. These conditions support minimum temperatures near 8–11°C, consistent with trader-implied odds clustered around those thresholds. Milder advection from western air masses has kept readings above seasonal norms, while scattered light rain or drizzle earlier in the period added humidity that moderates temperature drops. Model runs show minor divergence on exact clearing timing and dew-point depression, which directly affects how far the mercury falls before sunrise on the 19th. Updated official guidance from Russian meteorological services and real-time station observations will refine the final recorded low before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$106Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clear skies with light westerly to southwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h limiting strong mixing. These conditions support minimum temperatures near 8–11°C, consistent with trader-implied odds clustered around those thresholds. Milder advection from western air masses has kept readings above seasonal norms, while scattered light rain or drizzle earlier in the period added humidity that moderates temperature drops. Model runs show minor divergence on exact clearing timing and dew-point depression, which directly affects how far the mercury falls before sunrise on the 19th. Updated official guidance from Russian meteorological services and real-time station observations will refine the final recorded low before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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