Forecast models from sources including GFS and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance point to a daily minimum near 12–14°C for Moscow on August 24, driven by moderate southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited overnight radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure influence. Recent days have featured a cooling trend with daytime highs dropping from the mid-20s°C, setting up this near-normal late-August pattern where the lowest readings typically occur in the early morning hours. Market-implied odds remain dispersed across the 9–15°C range because ensemble spreads and local variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum by 1–3°C, with historical August lows averaging near 12°C providing climatological context. New model runs and official updates tonight will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 24 de agosto?
9°C ou menos 74%
13°C 37%
10°C 20%
11°C 20%
9°C ou menos
74%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C
20%
13°C
28%
14°C
20%
15°C
19%
16°C
10%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C ou mais
<1%
9°C ou menos 74%
13°C 37%
10°C 20%
11°C 20%
9°C ou menos
74%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C
20%
13°C
28%
14°C
20%
15°C
19%
16°C
10%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance point to a daily minimum near 12–14°C for Moscow on August 24, driven by moderate southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited overnight radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure influence. Recent days have featured a cooling trend with daytime highs dropping from the mid-20s°C, setting up this near-normal late-August pattern where the lowest readings typically occur in the early morning hours. Market-implied odds remain dispersed across the 9–15°C range because ensemble spreads and local variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum by 1–3°C, with historical August lows averaging near 12°C providing climatological context. New model runs and official updates tonight will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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