Current forecast guidance from multiple models points to clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 20, supporting radiational cooling overnight with minima likely near 15–16 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51 % implied probability for 14 °C or below, incorporates the recent sharp temperature drop driven by a high-altitude cold trough that lowered regional minima to 13–15 °C earlier in the week. While high pressure is rebuilding and daytime highs are rebounding toward 28–30 °C, residual northerly flow and the climatological range for the date (average low 14.8 °C) sustain uncertainty around whether readings will settle slightly below the seasonal norm. No significant synoptic changes are anticipated before the close of the observation period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Madrid a 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Madrid a 20 de setembro?
14°C ou menos 51%
15°C 40%
16°C 19%
17°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
14°C ou menos
51%
15°C
40%
16°C
19%
17°C
11%
18°C
7%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C ou mais
2%
14°C ou menos 51%
15°C 40%
16°C 19%
17°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
51%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C
$0 Vol.
11%
18°C
$0 Vol.
7%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from multiple models points to clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 20, supporting radiational cooling overnight with minima likely near 15–16 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51 % implied probability for 14 °C or below, incorporates the recent sharp temperature drop driven by a high-altitude cold trough that lowered regional minima to 13–15 °C earlier in the week. While high pressure is rebuilding and daytime highs are rebounding toward 28–30 °C, residual northerly flow and the climatological range for the date (average low 14.8 °C) sustain uncertainty around whether readings will settle slightly below the seasonal norm. No significant synoptic changes are anticipated before the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from multiple models points to clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 20, supporting radiational cooling overnight with minima likely near 15–16 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51 % implied probability for 14 °C or below, incorporates the recent sharp temperature drop driven by a high-altitude cold trough that lowered regional minima to 13–15 °C earlier in the week. While high pressure is rebuilding and daytime highs are rebounding toward 28–30 °C, residual northerly flow and the climatological range for the date (average low 14.8 °C) sustain uncertainty around whether readings will settle slightly below the seasonal norm. No significant synoptic changes are anticipated before the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from multiple models points to clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 20, supporting radiational cooling overnight with minima likely near 15–16 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51 % implied probability for 14 °C or below, incorporates the recent sharp temperature drop driven by a high-altitude cold trough that lowered regional minima to 13–15 °C earlier in the week. While high pressure is rebuilding and daytime highs are rebounding toward 28–30 °C, residual northerly flow and the climatological range for the date (average low 14.8 °C) sustain uncertainty around whether readings will settle slightly below the seasonal norm. No significant synoptic changes are anticipated before the close of the observation period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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