Current ensemble forecasts from regional models show Istanbul experiencing clear to mostly sunny conditions on September 9 with northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, yielding overnight lows near 19–21°C under stable high pressure. This consensus positions 19–21°C outcomes as leading probabilities by aligning with typical early-September climatology and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Elevated trader weighting on 16°C or below captures model spread and potential microclimate variations at official stations, while warmer tails above 23°C remain discounted absent any incoming warm advection or delayed frontal passage. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 9 de setembro?
16°C ou menos 85%
26°C ou mais 40%
21°C 28%
22°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
16°C ou menos
85%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
28%
22°C
27%
23°C
26%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C ou mais
40%
16°C ou menos 85%
26°C ou mais 40%
21°C 28%
22°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$72 Vol.
85%
17°C
$49 Vol.
8%
18°C
$49 Vol.
8%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
28%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$70 Vol.
8%
25°C
$52 Vol.
8%
26°C ou mais
$50 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models show Istanbul experiencing clear to mostly sunny conditions on September 9 with northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, yielding overnight lows near 19–21°C under stable high pressure. This consensus positions 19–21°C outcomes as leading probabilities by aligning with typical early-September climatology and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Elevated trader weighting on 16°C or below captures model spread and potential microclimate variations at official stations, while warmer tails above 23°C remain discounted absent any incoming warm advection or delayed frontal passage. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$342Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models show Istanbul experiencing clear to mostly sunny conditions on September 9 with northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, yielding overnight lows near 19–21°C under stable high pressure. This consensus positions 19–21°C outcomes as leading probabilities by aligning with typical early-September climatology and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Elevated trader weighting on 16°C or below captures model spread and potential microclimate variations at official stations, while warmer tails above 23°C remain discounted absent any incoming warm advection or delayed frontal passage. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$342Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from regional models show Istanbul experiencing clear to mostly sunny conditions on September 9 with northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, yielding overnight lows near 19–21°C under stable high pressure. This consensus positions 19–21°C outcomes as leading probabilities by aligning with typical early-September climatology and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Elevated trader weighting on 16°C or below captures model spread and potential microclimate variations at official stations, while warmer tails above 23°C remain discounted absent any incoming warm advection or delayed frontal passage. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions