Recent multi-model forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Chengdu of 24–26°C on August 24, driven by persistent high humidity, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of the late-summer subtropical regime. These conditions position 25°C as the market favorite at 46% implied probability, with 24°C close behind, while probabilities for 20°C or below remain secondary absent any incoming cooler air mass. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the consensus minimum near the seasonal average adjusted for current moisture levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 24 de agosto?
24°C 30%
20°C ou menos 28%
22°C 28%
23°C 28%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
28%
21°C
23%
22°C
28%
23°C
28%
24°C
30%
25°C
45%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C ou mais
28%
24°C 30%
20°C ou menos 28%
22°C 28%
23°C 28%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
$11 Vol.
28%
21°C
$5 Vol.
23%
22°C
$6 Vol.
28%
23°C
$6 Vol.
28%
24°C
$6 Vol.
30%
25°C
$943 Vol.
45%
26°C
$6 Vol.
25%
27°C
$6 Vol.
23%
28°C
$5 Vol.
3%
29°C
$5 Vol.
8%
30°C ou mais
$11 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Chengdu of 24–26°C on August 24, driven by persistent high humidity, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of the late-summer subtropical regime. These conditions position 25°C as the market favorite at 46% implied probability, with 24°C close behind, while probabilities for 20°C or below remain secondary absent any incoming cooler air mass. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the consensus minimum near the seasonal average adjusted for current moisture levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,010Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Chengdu of 24–26°C on August 24, driven by persistent high humidity, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of the late-summer subtropical regime. These conditions position 25°C as the market favorite at 46% implied probability, with 24°C close behind, while probabilities for 20°C or below remain secondary absent any incoming cooler air mass. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the consensus minimum near the seasonal average adjusted for current moisture levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,010Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent multi-model forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Chengdu of 24–26°C on August 24, driven by persistent high humidity, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of the late-summer subtropical regime. These conditions position 25°C as the market favorite at 46% implied probability, with 24°C close behind, while probabilities for 20°C or below remain secondary absent any incoming cooler air mass. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the consensus minimum near the seasonal average adjusted for current moisture levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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