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icon for Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas
Política·Comparecimento

Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas

icon for Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas
Política·Comparecimento

Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas

1,4M-1,5M 44%

1,5M-1,6M 34.2%

1,3M-1,4M 14.2%

1,2M-1,3M 5%

Polymarket
NOVO

1,4M-1,5M 44%

1,5M-1,6M 34.2%

1,3M-1,4M 14.2%

1,2M-1,3M 5%

Polymarket
NOVO

<1,1M

$197 Vol.

2%

1,1M-1,2M

$1,110 Vol.

3%

1,2M-1,3M

$3,623 Vol.

5%

1,3M-1,4M

$683 Vol.

14%

1,4M-1,5M

$1,225 Vol.

44%

1,5M-1,6M

$2,015 Vol.

34%

1,6M-1,7M

$433 Vol.

5%

1,7M+

$305 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In Louisiana’s November 3 general election for the U.S. Senate, Republican nominee Julia Letlow faces Democrat Jamie Davis in a contest rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus clusters tightly on total ballots between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, reflecting uncertainty over how much the low-turnout June party runoffs (roughly 513,000 votes statewide) will translate into broader November participation. Key variables include Republican mobilization efforts around Letlow’s Trump endorsement, Democratic outreach in a state where registered partisans are nearly even, early and absentee voting trends, and typical factors such as weather or local campaign intensity. Developments that could shift probabilities include sustained early-vote surges, major get-out-the-vote pushes by either party, or updated voter registration and turnout modeling closer to Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,593
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In Louisiana’s November 3 general election for the U.S. Senate, Republican nominee Julia Letlow faces Democrat Jamie Davis in a contest rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus clusters tightly on total ballots between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, reflecting uncertainty over how much the low-turnout June party runoffs (roughly 513,000 votes statewide) will translate into broader November participation. Key variables include Republican mobilization efforts around Letlow’s Trump endorsement, Democratic outreach in a state where registered partisans are nearly even, early and absentee voting trends, and typical factors such as weather or local campaign intensity. Developments that could shift probabilities include sustained early-vote surges, major get-out-the-vote pushes by either party, or updated voter registration and turnout modeling closer to Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,593
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1,4M-1,5M" at 44%, followed by "1,5M-1,6M" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas" is "1,4M-1,5M" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1,5M-1,6M" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.