Recent June CPI data, showing a 0.4% month-over-month decline that exceeded forecasts, has anchored trader expectations for July amid ongoing volatility in energy and goods prices. Core inflation eased to 2.6% year-over-year, supporting views of cooling momentum, while labor market softening and stable long-term inflation expectations around 2.5% add to the balanced outlook. Market-implied odds near 50% across outcomes from -0.4% to 0.0% reflect uncertainty over seasonal adjustments, potential rebounds in shelter costs, and any early signs of policy easing impacts. Key upcoming catalysts include July retail sales, employment reports, and energy price trends that could shift the distribution before the mid-August release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado≥0,1% 69%
0,0% 26%
-0,1% 3.1%
-0,4% <1%
$35,043 Vol.
$35,043 Vol.
12 ago 2026
≤-0,7%
<1%
-0,6%
<1%
-0,5%
<1%
-0,4%
1%
-0,3%
<1%
-0,2%
1%
-0,1%
3%
0,0%
26%
≥0,1%
69%
≥0,1% 69%
0,0% 26%
-0,1% 3.1%
-0,4% <1%
$35,043 Vol.
$35,043 Vol.
12 ago 2026
≤-0,7%
$966 Vol.
<1%
-0,6%
$894 Vol.
<1%
-0,5%
$723 Vol.
<1%
-0,4%
$810 Vol.
1%
-0,3%
$1,035 Vol.
<1%
-0,2%
$928 Vol.
1%
-0,1%
$1,406 Vol.
3%
0,0%
$8,935 Vol.
26%
≥0,1%
$19,438 Vol.
69%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data, showing a 0.4% month-over-month decline that exceeded forecasts, has anchored trader expectations for July amid ongoing volatility in energy and goods prices. Core inflation eased to 2.6% year-over-year, supporting views of cooling momentum, while labor market softening and stable long-term inflation expectations around 2.5% add to the balanced outlook. Market-implied odds near 50% across outcomes from -0.4% to 0.0% reflect uncertainty over seasonal adjustments, potential rebounds in shelter costs, and any early signs of policy easing impacts. Key upcoming catalysts include July retail sales, employment reports, and energy price trends that could shift the distribution before the mid-August release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
Volume
$35,043Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data, showing a 0.4% month-over-month decline that exceeded forecasts, has anchored trader expectations for July amid ongoing volatility in energy and goods prices. Core inflation eased to 2.6% year-over-year, supporting views of cooling momentum, while labor market softening and stable long-term inflation expectations around 2.5% add to the balanced outlook. Market-implied odds near 50% across outcomes from -0.4% to 0.0% reflect uncertainty over seasonal adjustments, potential rebounds in shelter costs, and any early signs of policy easing impacts. Key upcoming catalysts include July retail sales, employment reports, and energy price trends that could shift the distribution before the mid-August release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$35,043Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June CPI data, showing a 0.4% month-over-month decline that exceeded forecasts, has anchored trader expectations for July amid ongoing volatility in energy and goods prices. Core inflation eased to 2.6% year-over-year, supporting views of cooling momentum, while labor market softening and stable long-term inflation expectations around 2.5% add to the balanced outlook. Market-implied odds near 50% across outcomes from -0.4% to 0.0% reflect uncertainty over seasonal adjustments, potential rebounds in shelter costs, and any early signs of policy easing impacts. Key upcoming catalysts include July retail sales, employment reports, and energy price trends that could shift the distribution before the mid-August release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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