Recent June 2026 core CPI readings at 1.6% year-over-year, still below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid scaled-back energy subsidies and easing food prices, anchor trader sentiment near even odds between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets for full-year 2026. BoJ July outlook projections around 1.9% reflect temporary moderation from fiscal measures, while Middle East-driven oil price gains and sticky core-core measures near 1.7-1.9% introduce upside risks that could push the annual rate into the low-2% range. Recent 25-basis-point rate hikes underscore policymakers' focus on preventing second-round effects, leaving market-implied probabilities closely contested pending August data and any further geopolitical developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado≤1,9% 48.9%
2.0-2.4% 48%
3.0-3.4% 3.4%
2,5-2,9% 1.4%
$37,666 Vol.
$37,666 Vol.
22 jan 2027
≤1,9%
49%
2.0-2.4%
48%
2,5-2,9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
26%
3,5-3,9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1,9% 48.9%
2.0-2.4% 48%
3.0-3.4% 3.4%
2,5-2,9% 1.4%
$37,666 Vol.
$37,666 Vol.
22 jan 2027
≤1,9%
$18,023 Vol.
49%
2.0-2.4%
$10,644 Vol.
48%
2,5-2,9%
$5,175 Vol.
1%
3.0-3.4%
$1,471 Vol.
26%
3,5-3,9%
$985 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent June 2026 core CPI readings at 1.6% year-over-year, still below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid scaled-back energy subsidies and easing food prices, anchor trader sentiment near even odds between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets for full-year 2026. BoJ July outlook projections around 1.9% reflect temporary moderation from fiscal measures, while Middle East-driven oil price gains and sticky core-core measures near 1.7-1.9% introduce upside risks that could push the annual rate into the low-2% range. Recent 25-basis-point rate hikes underscore policymakers' focus on preventing second-round effects, leaving market-implied probabilities closely contested pending August data and any further geopolitical developments.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$37,666Data de Término
22 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent June 2026 core CPI readings at 1.6% year-over-year, still below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid scaled-back energy subsidies and easing food prices, anchor trader sentiment near even odds between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets for full-year 2026. BoJ July outlook projections around 1.9% reflect temporary moderation from fiscal measures, while Middle East-driven oil price gains and sticky core-core measures near 1.7-1.9% introduce upside risks that could push the annual rate into the low-2% range. Recent 25-basis-point rate hikes underscore policymakers' focus on preventing second-round effects, leaving market-implied probabilities closely contested pending August data and any further geopolitical developments.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$37,666Data de Término
22 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 core CPI readings at 1.6% year-over-year, still below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid scaled-back energy subsidies and easing food prices, anchor trader sentiment near even odds between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets for full-year 2026. BoJ July outlook projections around 1.9% reflect temporary moderation from fiscal measures, while Middle East-driven oil price gains and sticky core-core measures near 1.7-1.9% introduce upside risks that could push the annual rate into the low-2% range. Recent 25-basis-point rate hikes underscore policymakers' focus on preventing second-round effects, leaving market-implied probabilities closely contested pending August data and any further geopolitical developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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