**Trader consensus centers on 600K-680K total ballots cast in Idaho's November 2026 U.S. Senate election.** The race features incumbent Republican Jim Risch in a solidly safe seat against independent Todd Achilles, with minimal competition and low national salience typical of midterm cycles. This environment usually produces lower mobilization than presidential years, when Idaho recorded roughly 918K ballots in 2024. The May 2026 primary saw about 30% turnout (312K ballots), consistent with subdued engagement in non-competitive contests. Idaho's ongoing population growth and high historical midterm participation rates relative to national averages keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-600K range, while very high or low extremes remain unlikely absent major late developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado de Idaho: comparecimento às urnas
Eleição para o Senado de Idaho: comparecimento às urnas
600K-640K 42%
640K-680K 40%
520K-560K 16%
720K+ 10.0%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<480K
5%
480K-520K
7%
520K-560K
10%
560K-600K
3%
600K-640K
42%
640K-680K
40%
680K-720K
5%
720K+
10%
600K-640K 42%
640K-680K 40%
520K-560K 16%
720K+ 10.0%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<480K
$199 Vol.
5%
480K-520K
$179 Vol.
7%
520K-560K
$306 Vol.
10%
560K-600K
$87 Vol.
3%
600K-640K
$1,522 Vol.
42%
640K-680K
$887 Vol.
40%
680K-720K
$157 Vol.
5%
720K+
$137 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 600K-680K total ballots cast in Idaho's November 2026 U.S. Senate election.** The race features incumbent Republican Jim Risch in a solidly safe seat against independent Todd Achilles, with minimal competition and low national salience typical of midterm cycles. This environment usually produces lower mobilization than presidential years, when Idaho recorded roughly 918K ballots in 2024. The May 2026 primary saw about 30% turnout (312K ballots), consistent with subdued engagement in non-competitive contests. Idaho's ongoing population growth and high historical midterm participation rates relative to national averages keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-600K range, while very high or low extremes remain unlikely absent major late developments.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
Volume
$3,474Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 600K-680K total ballots cast in Idaho's November 2026 U.S. Senate election.** The race features incumbent Republican Jim Risch in a solidly safe seat against independent Todd Achilles, with minimal competition and low national salience typical of midterm cycles. This environment usually produces lower mobilization than presidential years, when Idaho recorded roughly 918K ballots in 2024. The May 2026 primary saw about 30% turnout (312K ballots), consistent with subdued engagement in non-competitive contests. Idaho's ongoing population growth and high historical midterm participation rates relative to national averages keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-600K range, while very high or low extremes remain unlikely absent major late developments.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,474Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 600K-680K total ballots cast in Idaho's November 2026 U.S. Senate election.** The race features incumbent Republican Jim Risch in a solidly safe seat against independent Todd Achilles, with minimal competition and low national salience typical of midterm cycles. This environment usually produces lower mobilization than presidential years, when Idaho recorded roughly 918K ballots in 2024. The May 2026 primary saw about 30% turnout (312K ballots), consistent with subdued engagement in non-competitive contests. Idaho's ongoing population growth and high historical midterm participation rates relative to national averages keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-600K range, while very high or low extremes remain unlikely absent major late developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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