Recent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos empregos foram adicionados em setembro?
50 mil a 100 mil 26%
100 mil a 150 mil 23%
0 a 50 mil 22%
-50 mil a 0 12%
<-50k
9%
-50 mil a 0
12%
0 a 50 mil
22%
50 mil a 100 mil
26%
100 mil a 150 mil
23%
150 mil a 200 mil
5%
200 mil+
8%
50 mil a 100 mil 26%
100 mil a 150 mil 23%
0 a 50 mil 22%
-50 mil a 0 12%
<-50k
9%
-50 mil a 0
12%
0 a 50 mil
22%
50 mil a 100 mil
26%
100 mil a 150 mil
23%
150 mil a 200 mil
5%
200 mil+
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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