Recent DCCC targeting of all four Republican-held Colorado congressional districts, including additions of the 3rd and 4th to its “in play” list, has centered trader focus on Democratic expansion from the current four-seat split. Competitive dynamics in the 8th district, where Republicans hold a narrow edge after the 2024 flip, combined with softer Republican positioning in the 3rd amid primary turbulence, support the market’s 49% consensus on five Democratic seats as the most probable outcome. Broader national midterm environment and candidate recruitment further shape probabilities for four or six seats, while structural district lines limit upside beyond that range absent major shifts before November 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado5 49%
4 26%
6 21%
<4 5%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<4
5%
4
26%
5
49%
6
21%
7+
5%
5 49%
4 26%
6 21%
<4 5%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<4
$0 Vol.
5%
4
$0 Vol.
26%
5
$0 Vol.
49%
6
$60 Vol.
21%
7+
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Colorado in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent DCCC targeting of all four Republican-held Colorado congressional districts, including additions of the 3rd and 4th to its “in play” list, has centered trader focus on Democratic expansion from the current four-seat split. Competitive dynamics in the 8th district, where Republicans hold a narrow edge after the 2024 flip, combined with softer Republican positioning in the 3rd amid primary turbulence, support the market’s 49% consensus on five Democratic seats as the most probable outcome. Broader national midterm environment and candidate recruitment further shape probabilities for four or six seats, while structural district lines limit upside beyond that range absent major shifts before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Colorado in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
Volume
$60Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Colorado in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent DCCC targeting of all four Republican-held Colorado congressional districts, including additions of the 3rd and 4th to its “in play” list, has centered trader focus on Democratic expansion from the current four-seat split. Competitive dynamics in the 8th district, where Republicans hold a narrow edge after the 2024 flip, combined with softer Republican positioning in the 3rd amid primary turbulence, support the market’s 49% consensus on five Democratic seats as the most probable outcome. Broader national midterm environment and candidate recruitment further shape probabilities for four or six seats, while structural district lines limit upside beyond that range absent major shifts before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Colorado in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$60Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent DCCC targeting of all four Republican-held Colorado congressional districts, including additions of the 3rd and 4th to its “in play” list, has centered trader focus on Democratic expansion from the current four-seat split. Competitive dynamics in the 8th district, where Republicans hold a narrow edge after the 2024 flip, combined with softer Republican positioning in the 3rd amid primary turbulence, support the market’s 49% consensus on five Democratic seats as the most probable outcome. Broader national midterm environment and candidate recruitment further shape probabilities for four or six seats, while structural district lines limit upside beyond that range absent major shifts before November 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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