Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned services and regional meteorological centers show consensus for a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allow strong solar heating under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C, combined with stable overnight lows around 24–26°C and no incoming frontal systems, position 33°C as the leading outcome with strong market-implied probability. Traders weigh these short-range deterministic runs against minor model spread for possible 34°C peaks if insolation exceeds expectations, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent rapid atmospheric shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 24 de agosto?
33°C 64%
32°C 34%
34°C 6%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
34%
33°C
64%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 64%
32°C 34%
34°C 6%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
34%
33°C
64%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned services and regional meteorological centers show consensus for a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allow strong solar heating under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C, combined with stable overnight lows around 24–26°C and no incoming frontal systems, position 33°C as the leading outcome with strong market-implied probability. Traders weigh these short-range deterministic runs against minor model spread for possible 34°C peaks if insolation exceeds expectations, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent rapid atmospheric shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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