Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate consistently project a daytime high of 32–33 °C for Tel Aviv on August 15 under mostly sunny conditions with light westerly winds. This aligns with peak-summer climatology for the eastern Mediterranean coast, where typical August maxima range 30–33 °C and sea-breeze moderation limits extremes. Recent observations show highs of 32–35 °C in the preceding days, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (67.5 %) and 34 °C (26.5 %). Model consensus indicates no significant heatwave or anomalous warming is expected before resolution, keeping lower or higher outcomes at negligible implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 15 de agosto?
33°C 70%
34°C 30%
32°C 5%
31°C <1%
$17,382 Vol.
$17,382 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
70%
34°C
30%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 70%
34°C 30%
32°C 5%
31°C <1%
$17,382 Vol.
$17,382 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
70%
34°C
30%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate consistently project a daytime high of 32–33 °C for Tel Aviv on August 15 under mostly sunny conditions with light westerly winds. This aligns with peak-summer climatology for the eastern Mediterranean coast, where typical August maxima range 30–33 °C and sea-breeze moderation limits extremes. Recent observations show highs of 32–35 °C in the preceding days, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (67.5 %) and 34 °C (26.5 %). Model consensus indicates no significant heatwave or anomalous warming is expected before resolution, keeping lower or higher outcomes at negligible implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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