**Latest official forecasts position mid-30s Celsius as the most probable range for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 13.** Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance and international models from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 36 °C (96–97 °F), with afternoon thundershowers and high humidity typical of Taipei’s subtropical summer pattern. These conditions favor the market’s leading outcomes at 36 °C (42 %) and 37 °C (31.5 %), as urban heat-island effects and weak steering winds limit rapid cooling despite cloud cover. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with no approaching tropical systems or strong cold-air intrusions to alter the trajectory. Afternoon convective activity may cap the extreme upper tail, keeping probabilities for 38 °C or higher below 7 % while supporting a modest chance of 35 °C if showers arrive earlier. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast updates heavily, consistent with historical August variability where peaks commonly reach 34–36 °C under similar synoptic setups. Updated CWA briefings and morning model runs on August 13 will provide the final resolution data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Taipei em 13 de agosto?
36°C 42%
37°C 32%
35°C 18%
38°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
29°C ou menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
18%
36°C
42%
37°C
32%
38°C
7%
39°C ou mais
1%
36°C 42%
37°C 32%
35°C 18%
38°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
29°C ou menos
$582 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$646 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$233 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,553 Vol.
2%
34°C
$185 Vol.
3%
35°C
$546 Vol.
18%
36°C
$988 Vol.
42%
37°C
$399 Vol.
32%
38°C
$604 Vol.
7%
39°C ou mais
$1,294 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts position mid-30s Celsius as the most probable range for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 13.** Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance and international models from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 36 °C (96–97 °F), with afternoon thundershowers and high humidity typical of Taipei’s subtropical summer pattern. These conditions favor the market’s leading outcomes at 36 °C (42 %) and 37 °C (31.5 %), as urban heat-island effects and weak steering winds limit rapid cooling despite cloud cover.
Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with no approaching tropical systems or strong cold-air intrusions to alter the trajectory. Afternoon convective activity may cap the extreme upper tail, keeping probabilities for 38 °C or higher below 7 % while supporting a modest chance of 35 °C if showers arrive earlier. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast updates heavily, consistent with historical August variability where peaks commonly reach 34–36 °C under similar synoptic setups. Updated CWA briefings and morning model runs on August 13 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,293Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts position mid-30s Celsius as the most probable range for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 13.** Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance and international models from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 36 °C (96–97 °F), with afternoon thundershowers and high humidity typical of Taipei’s subtropical summer pattern. These conditions favor the market’s leading outcomes at 36 °C (42 %) and 37 °C (31.5 %), as urban heat-island effects and weak steering winds limit rapid cooling despite cloud cover.
Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with no approaching tropical systems or strong cold-air intrusions to alter the trajectory. Afternoon convective activity may cap the extreme upper tail, keeping probabilities for 38 °C or higher below 7 % while supporting a modest chance of 35 °C if showers arrive earlier. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast updates heavily, consistent with historical August variability where peaks commonly reach 34–36 °C under similar synoptic setups. Updated CWA briefings and morning model runs on August 13 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,293Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts position mid-30s Celsius as the most probable range for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 13.** Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance and international models from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 36 °C (96–97 °F), with afternoon thundershowers and high humidity typical of Taipei’s subtropical summer pattern. These conditions favor the market’s leading outcomes at 36 °C (42 %) and 37 °C (31.5 %), as urban heat-island effects and weak steering winds limit rapid cooling despite cloud cover. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with no approaching tropical systems or strong cold-air intrusions to alter the trajectory. Afternoon convective activity may cap the extreme upper tail, keeping probabilities for 38 °C or higher below 7 % while supporting a modest chance of 35 °C if showers arrive earlier. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast updates heavily, consistent with historical August variability where peaks commonly reach 34–36 °C under similar synoptic setups. Updated CWA briefings and morning model runs on August 13 will provide the final resolution data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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