Short-term forecasts from models like those informing AccuWeather and regional outlooks point to typical mid-July subtropical conditions in Shenzhen, with daytime highs near the 32°C seasonal average amid high humidity and variable monsoon moisture. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, where differences hinge on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any localized convective activity that could cap peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing for slightly warmer outcomes. Historical analogs show July maxima frequently falling in this narrow band unless stronger typhoon influences or clearer anticyclonic patterns emerge, with final resolution depending on official station data for the exact daily high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 27 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 27 de julho?
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
29°C 20%
32°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
27 jul 2026
27°C ou menos
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
20%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
14%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
29°C 20%
32°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
27 jul 2026
27°C ou menos
$244 Vol.
4%
28°C
$565 Vol.
13%
29°C
$344 Vol.
20%
30°C
$493 Vol.
27%
31°C
$193 Vol.
27%
32°C
$196 Vol.
14%
33°C
$163 Vol.
6%
34°C
$186 Vol.
2%
35°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$522 Vol.
<1%
37°C ou mais
$786 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from models like those informing AccuWeather and regional outlooks point to typical mid-July subtropical conditions in Shenzhen, with daytime highs near the 32°C seasonal average amid high humidity and variable monsoon moisture. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, where differences hinge on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any localized convective activity that could cap peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing for slightly warmer outcomes. Historical analogs show July maxima frequently falling in this narrow band unless stronger typhoon influences or clearer anticyclonic patterns emerge, with final resolution depending on official station data for the exact daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,026Data de Término
27 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from models like those informing AccuWeather and regional outlooks point to typical mid-July subtropical conditions in Shenzhen, with daytime highs near the 32°C seasonal average amid high humidity and variable monsoon moisture. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, where differences hinge on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any localized convective activity that could cap peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing for slightly warmer outcomes. Historical analogs show July maxima frequently falling in this narrow band unless stronger typhoon influences or clearer anticyclonic patterns emerge, with final resolution depending on official station data for the exact daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,026Data de Término
27 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from models like those informing AccuWeather and regional outlooks point to typical mid-July subtropical conditions in Shenzhen, with daytime highs near the 32°C seasonal average amid high humidity and variable monsoon moisture. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, where differences hinge on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any localized convective activity that could cap peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing for slightly warmer outcomes. Historical analogs show July maxima frequently falling in this narrow band unless stronger typhoon influences or clearer anticyclonic patterns emerge, with final resolution depending on official station data for the exact daily high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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