Current forecasts for Qingdao on August 13 indicate maximum temperatures near 30–31°C as the primary driver of market-implied odds, with cloud cover and Yellow Sea breezes moderating daytime heating. Coastal sea-surface temperatures around 26–28°C fuel afternoon sea breezes that frequently cap peaks 1–3°C below inland expectations, while persistent overcast conditions limit solar insolation. Ensemble models show tight clustering around these values due to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing, explaining the near-even split between 30°C and 31°C outcomes versus lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, though short-term model updates on cloud evolution could shift resolution thresholds before the daily high is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 13 de agosto?
30°C 37%
31°C 34%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
37%
31°C
34%
32°C
9%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 34%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
$107 Vol.
1%
27°C
$81 Vol.
1%
28°C
$820 Vol.
6%
29°C
$434 Vol.
16%
30°C
$2,985 Vol.
37%
31°C
$1,049 Vol.
34%
32°C
$2,286 Vol.
9%
33°C
$247 Vol.
3%
34°C
$97 Vol.
1%
35°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou mais
$252 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Qingdao on August 13 indicate maximum temperatures near 30–31°C as the primary driver of market-implied odds, with cloud cover and Yellow Sea breezes moderating daytime heating. Coastal sea-surface temperatures around 26–28°C fuel afternoon sea breezes that frequently cap peaks 1–3°C below inland expectations, while persistent overcast conditions limit solar insolation. Ensemble models show tight clustering around these values due to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing, explaining the near-even split between 30°C and 31°C outcomes versus lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, though short-term model updates on cloud evolution could shift resolution thresholds before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$8,474Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Qingdao on August 13 indicate maximum temperatures near 30–31°C as the primary driver of market-implied odds, with cloud cover and Yellow Sea breezes moderating daytime heating. Coastal sea-surface temperatures around 26–28°C fuel afternoon sea breezes that frequently cap peaks 1–3°C below inland expectations, while persistent overcast conditions limit solar insolation. Ensemble models show tight clustering around these values due to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing, explaining the near-even split between 30°C and 31°C outcomes versus lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, though short-term model updates on cloud evolution could shift resolution thresholds before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,474Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Qingdao on August 13 indicate maximum temperatures near 30–31°C as the primary driver of market-implied odds, with cloud cover and Yellow Sea breezes moderating daytime heating. Coastal sea-surface temperatures around 26–28°C fuel afternoon sea breezes that frequently cap peaks 1–3°C below inland expectations, while persistent overcast conditions limit solar insolation. Ensemble models show tight clustering around these values due to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing, explaining the near-even split between 30°C and 31°C outcomes versus lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, though short-term model updates on cloud evolution could shift resolution thresholds before the daily high is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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