Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on September 20 most likely between 23–25°C under stable high pressure with light westerly to northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover but negligible precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with the market's concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes, as current runs show limited day-to-day variability and only modest warming relative to the 1991–2020 September average high near 21°C. No major model disagreements or incoming fronts have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the consensus, keeping extremes below 22°C or above 26°C at low probability. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the date will be the next key inputs for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 20 de setembro?
24°C 36%
23°C 25%
25°C 23%
22°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
16%
23°C
25%
24°C
36%
25°C
23%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 36%
23°C 25%
25°C 23%
22°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$165 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$963 Vol.
16%
23°C
$315 Vol.
25%
24°C
$257 Vol.
36%
25°C
$487 Vol.
23%
26°C
$366 Vol.
8%
27°C
$5 Vol.
4%
28°C
$204 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C ou mais
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on September 20 most likely between 23–25°C under stable high pressure with light westerly to northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover but negligible precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with the market's concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes, as current runs show limited day-to-day variability and only modest warming relative to the 1991–2020 September average high near 21°C. No major model disagreements or incoming fronts have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the consensus, keeping extremes below 22°C or above 26°C at low probability. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the date will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,944Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on September 20 most likely between 23–25°C under stable high pressure with light westerly to northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover but negligible precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with the market's concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes, as current runs show limited day-to-day variability and only modest warming relative to the 1991–2020 September average high near 21°C. No major model disagreements or incoming fronts have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the consensus, keeping extremes below 22°C or above 26°C at low probability. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the date will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,944Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on September 20 most likely between 23–25°C under stable high pressure with light westerly to northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover but negligible precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with the market's concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes, as current runs show limited day-to-day variability and only modest warming relative to the 1991–2020 September average high near 21°C. No major model disagreements or incoming fronts have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the consensus, keeping extremes below 22°C or above 26°C at low probability. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the date will be the next key inputs for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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