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icon for Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 27 de julho?

Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 27 de julho?

icon for Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 27 de julho?

Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 27 de julho?

21°C 23%

20°C 21%

19°C 19%

18°C 18%

Polymarket
NOVO

21°C 23%

20°C 21%

19°C 19%

18°C 18%

Polymarket
NOVO

12°C ou menos

$10 Vol.

1%

13°C

$10 Vol.

1%

14°C

$20 Vol.

1%

15°C

$52 Vol.

1%

16°C

$1,356 Vol.

3%

17°C

$116 Vol.

9%

18°C

$0 Vol.

18%

19°C

$0 Vol.

19%

20°C

$0 Vol.

21%

21°C

$0 Vol.

23%

22°C ou mais

$11 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a high near 19–21°C in Moscow on July 27 amid variable summer conditions.** Current guidance from sources like timeanddate and regional outlooks points to overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which would limit daytime heating and keep the peak temperature in a narrow band. Atmospheric factors include modest warm-air advection from the south, moderate surface winds, and reduced solar insolation under cloud cover, all of which cap the maximum. Precipitation or thicker cloud decks could shave 1–2°C off the high, while clearer breaks might allow it to reach the upper end of the favored range. Historical July averages for Moscow hover around 23–25°C, so the market-implied distribution centered on 18–21°C reflects expectations of below-normal warmth driven by this synoptic setup. With resolution only two days away, updates from short-range models and official observations will determine whether the peak settles at 19°C or shifts slightly higher or lower.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,575
Data de Término
27 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a high near 19–21°C in Moscow on July 27 amid variable summer conditions.** Current guidance from sources like timeanddate and regional outlooks points to overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which would limit daytime heating and keep the peak temperature in a narrow band. Atmospheric factors include modest warm-air advection from the south, moderate surface winds, and reduced solar insolation under cloud cover, all of which cap the maximum. Precipitation or thicker cloud decks could shave 1–2°C off the high, while clearer breaks might allow it to reach the upper end of the favored range. Historical July averages for Moscow hover around 23–25°C, so the market-implied distribution centered on 18–21°C reflects expectations of below-normal warmth driven by this synoptic setup. With resolution only two days away, updates from short-range models and official observations will determine whether the peak settles at 19°C or shifts slightly higher or lower.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,575
Data de Término
27 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 27 de julho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "21°C" at 23%, followed by "20°C" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 27 de julho?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 27 de julho?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 27 de julho?" is "21°C" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20°C" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 27 de julho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.