The active southwest monsoon, with its associated cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila, is the main factor capping daytime heating and keeping the highest temperature on track for 30–31°C on August 13. PAGASA guidance shows a forecast range of 25–30°C or 25–33°C depending on the exact timing of rainfall, while long-term August climatology centers on a 31°C maximum. Recent model consensus and observed conditions on the 12th support this narrow band, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30°C (35.5%) and 31°C (43.5%) because modest shifts in convective timing or breaks in cloud cover could easily tip the daily peak by one degree.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 13 de agosto?
31°C 44%
30°C 36%
29°C 10%
32°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
36%
31°C
44%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 36%
29°C 10%
32°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
25°C ou menos
$216 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$243 Vol.
1%
28°C
$376 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,179 Vol.
10%
30°C
$728 Vol.
36%
31°C
$1,059 Vol.
44%
32°C
$723 Vol.
9%
33°C
$987 Vol.
2%
34°C
$315 Vol.
1%
35°C ou mais
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon, with its associated cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila, is the main factor capping daytime heating and keeping the highest temperature on track for 30–31°C on August 13. PAGASA guidance shows a forecast range of 25–30°C or 25–33°C depending on the exact timing of rainfall, while long-term August climatology centers on a 31°C maximum. Recent model consensus and observed conditions on the 12th support this narrow band, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30°C (35.5%) and 31°C (43.5%) because modest shifts in convective timing or breaks in cloud cover could easily tip the daily peak by one degree.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$6,424Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon, with its associated cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila, is the main factor capping daytime heating and keeping the highest temperature on track for 30–31°C on August 13. PAGASA guidance shows a forecast range of 25–30°C or 25–33°C depending on the exact timing of rainfall, while long-term August climatology centers on a 31°C maximum. Recent model consensus and observed conditions on the 12th support this narrow band, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30°C (35.5%) and 31°C (43.5%) because modest shifts in convective timing or breaks in cloud cover could easily tip the daily peak by one degree.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,424Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The active southwest monsoon, with its associated cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila, is the main factor capping daytime heating and keeping the highest temperature on track for 30–31°C on August 13. PAGASA guidance shows a forecast range of 25–30°C or 25–33°C depending on the exact timing of rainfall, while long-term August climatology centers on a 31°C maximum. Recent model consensus and observed conditions on the 12th support this narrow band, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30°C (35.5%) and 31°C (43.5%) because modest shifts in convective timing or breaks in cloud cover could easily tip the daily peak by one degree.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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