Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC indicate maximum temperatures near 29–31°C for Istanbul on August 7, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow under typical summer synoptic patterns. Trader consensus splitting between 28°C (41.5%) and 29°C (37.5%) reflects emphasis on Bosphorus sea breezes and urban heat-island moderation at official stations, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to broader regional guidance. Key variables include afternoon wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin cloud development that limits insolation. Historical August averages near 28–29°C provide baseline context, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded at the primary meteorological site. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine probabilities ahead of the daily high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 7 de agosto?
28°C 42%
29°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 7%
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
13%
28°C
42%
29°C
38%
30°C
7%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 7%
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
13%
28°C
42%
29°C
38%
30°C
7%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC indicate maximum temperatures near 29–31°C for Istanbul on August 7, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow under typical summer synoptic patterns. Trader consensus splitting between 28°C (41.5%) and 29°C (37.5%) reflects emphasis on Bosphorus sea breezes and urban heat-island moderation at official stations, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to broader regional guidance. Key variables include afternoon wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin cloud development that limits insolation. Historical August averages near 28–29°C provide baseline context, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded at the primary meteorological site. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine probabilities ahead of the daily high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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