Recent official forecasts and model guidance indicate an incoming cold air surge will drive cooling and widespread rain across the Sichuan Basin on September 9, with Chengdu expected to see moderate to heavy precipitation and northerly winds of 4–7 m/s. These conditions reduce solar heating through persistent cloud cover while enhancing evaporative cooling and mixing, limiting afternoon highs. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperature and rainfall timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28 °C, as small differences in convective timing or wind strength can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak value ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 9 de setembro?
27°C 23%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
25°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
21°C ou menos
3%
22°C
15%
23°C
8%
24°C
9%
25°C
15%
26°C
22%
27°C
23%
28°C
22%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C ou mais
3%
27°C 23%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
25°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C
$7 Vol.
8%
24°C
$2 Vol.
9%
25°C
$17 Vol.
15%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$3 Vol.
23%
28°C
$28 Vol.
22%
29°C
$23 Vol.
12%
30°C
$25 Vol.
5%
31°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model guidance indicate an incoming cold air surge will drive cooling and widespread rain across the Sichuan Basin on September 9, with Chengdu expected to see moderate to heavy precipitation and northerly winds of 4–7 m/s. These conditions reduce solar heating through persistent cloud cover while enhancing evaporative cooling and mixing, limiting afternoon highs. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperature and rainfall timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28 °C, as small differences in convective timing or wind strength can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak value ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$109Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model guidance indicate an incoming cold air surge will drive cooling and widespread rain across the Sichuan Basin on September 9, with Chengdu expected to see moderate to heavy precipitation and northerly winds of 4–7 m/s. These conditions reduce solar heating through persistent cloud cover while enhancing evaporative cooling and mixing, limiting afternoon highs. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperature and rainfall timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28 °C, as small differences in convective timing or wind strength can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak value ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$109Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model guidance indicate an incoming cold air surge will drive cooling and widespread rain across the Sichuan Basin on September 9, with Chengdu expected to see moderate to heavy precipitation and northerly winds of 4–7 m/s. These conditions reduce solar heating through persistent cloud cover while enhancing evaporative cooling and mixing, limiting afternoon highs. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperature and rainfall timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28 °C, as small differences in convective timing or wind strength can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak value ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions