Forecast models for Beijing on September 20 show maximum temperatures clustered near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds, driving the tight distribution of market-implied probabilities across the 25–32°C range. Recent early autumn onset on September 8—triggered by persistent high pressure near Lake Baikal and repeated cold-air intrusions—has produced below-average overnight lows, moderating daytime peaks relative to historical September norms of roughly 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance and official China Meteorological Administration outlooks reflect modest uncertainty from cloud-cover evolution and boundary-layer mixing, with limited potential for brief clearing to push readings toward 31°C or scattered showers to cap them lower. Updated short-range runs and surface observations on the day will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 20 de setembro?
30°C 35%
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
25°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
24°C ou menos
4%
25°C
27%
26°C
16%
27°C
22%
28°C
30%
29°C
32%
30°C
24%
31°C
16%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 35%
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
25°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
24°C ou menos
$60 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
16%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$80 Vol.
30%
29°C
$10 Vol.
32%
30°C
$107 Vol.
24%
31°C
$0 Vol.
16%
32°C
$0 Vol.
16%
33°C
$0 Vol.
4%
34°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Beijing on September 20 show maximum temperatures clustered near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds, driving the tight distribution of market-implied probabilities across the 25–32°C range. Recent early autumn onset on September 8—triggered by persistent high pressure near Lake Baikal and repeated cold-air intrusions—has produced below-average overnight lows, moderating daytime peaks relative to historical September norms of roughly 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance and official China Meteorological Administration outlooks reflect modest uncertainty from cloud-cover evolution and boundary-layer mixing, with limited potential for brief clearing to push readings toward 31°C or scattered showers to cap them lower. Updated short-range runs and surface observations on the day will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$257Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Beijing on September 20 show maximum temperatures clustered near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds, driving the tight distribution of market-implied probabilities across the 25–32°C range. Recent early autumn onset on September 8—triggered by persistent high pressure near Lake Baikal and repeated cold-air intrusions—has produced below-average overnight lows, moderating daytime peaks relative to historical September norms of roughly 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance and official China Meteorological Administration outlooks reflect modest uncertainty from cloud-cover evolution and boundary-layer mixing, with limited potential for brief clearing to push readings toward 31°C or scattered showers to cap them lower. Updated short-range runs and surface observations on the day will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$257Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Beijing on September 20 show maximum temperatures clustered near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds, driving the tight distribution of market-implied probabilities across the 25–32°C range. Recent early autumn onset on September 8—triggered by persistent high pressure near Lake Baikal and repeated cold-air intrusions—has produced below-average overnight lows, moderating daytime peaks relative to historical September norms of roughly 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance and official China Meteorological Administration outlooks reflect modest uncertainty from cloud-cover evolution and boundary-layer mixing, with limited potential for brief clearing to push readings toward 31°C or scattered showers to cap them lower. Updated short-range runs and surface observations on the day will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions