Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently converge on a high near 100–102°F for Austin on August 15, positioning the 100–101°F bin as the market leader with 48% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging and dry southwesterly flow favor continued heat without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with climatological August peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent guidance shows little model spread, though minor timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary could nudge readings into the 102–103°F range (22.5%). Traders are weighting these short-term dynamical forecasts heavily ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 15 de agosto?
100-101°F 48%
102-103°F 23%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
91°F ou menos
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
23%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F ou mais
<1%
100-101°F 48%
102-103°F 23%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
91°F ou menos
$28 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$28 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$157 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$538 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$334 Vol.
16%
100-101°F
$348 Vol.
48%
102-103°F
$15 Vol.
23%
104-105°F
$82 Vol.
6%
106-107°F
$54 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$156 Vol.
<1%
110°F ou mais
$325 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently converge on a high near 100–102°F for Austin on August 15, positioning the 100–101°F bin as the market leader with 48% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging and dry southwesterly flow favor continued heat without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with climatological August peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent guidance shows little model spread, though minor timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary could nudge readings into the 102–103°F range (22.5%). Traders are weighting these short-term dynamical forecasts heavily ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,065Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently converge on a high near 100–102°F for Austin on August 15, positioning the 100–101°F bin as the market leader with 48% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging and dry southwesterly flow favor continued heat without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with climatological August peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent guidance shows little model spread, though minor timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary could nudge readings into the 102–103°F range (22.5%). Traders are weighting these short-term dynamical forecasts heavily ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,065Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently converge on a high near 100–102°F for Austin on August 15, positioning the 100–101°F bin as the market leader with 48% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging and dry southwesterly flow favor continued heat without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with climatological August peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent guidance shows little model spread, though minor timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary could nudge readings into the 102–103°F range (22.5%). Traders are weighting these short-term dynamical forecasts heavily ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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