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icon for Grande Prémio de Espanha: Vencedor do Piloto
Desporto·Fórmula 1

Grande Prémio de Espanha: Vencedor do Piloto

icon for Grande Prémio de Espanha: Vencedor do Piloto
Desporto·Fórmula 1

Grande Prémio de Espanha: Vencedor do Piloto

Kimi Antonelli 34%

Lando Norris 21%

George Russell 15%

Lewis Hamilton 11%

Polymarket

$31,250 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 34%

Lando Norris 21%

George Russell 15%

Lewis Hamilton 11%

Polymarket

$31,250 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$11,232 Vol.

34%

Lando Norris

$1,799 Vol.

21%

George Russell

$7,402 Vol.

15%

Lewis Hamilton

$902 Vol.

11%

Charles Leclerc

$711 Vol.

9%

Max Verstappen

$4,789 Vol.

9%

Oscar Piastri

$357 Vol.

6%

Franco Colapinto

$1,361 Vol.

1%

Pierre Gasly

$888 Vol.

1%

Liam Lawson

$254 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Alonso

$474 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$254 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$254 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$183 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$28 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$194 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Perez

$14 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$194 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$0 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hulkenberg

$0 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$0 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$0 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli enters the 2026 Spanish Grand Prix at the new Madring circuit as the clear market leader due to his dominant recent form, including a record-setting home victory at Monza from 19th on the grid that extended his Drivers’ Championship advantage to around 66 points over teammate George Russell. Mercedes’ strong season pace underpins his 34.5% implied probability, though the debut Madrid layout—featuring a fast opening sector and tight low-speed corners—raises expectations of safety cars and incidents that could shuffle the order. Lando Norris (20.5%) benefits from McLaren’s consistent competitiveness and recent podiums, while Russell (14.5%) draws support from Mercedes’ qualifying edge. Ferrari’s Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc, plus Red Bull’s Max Verstappen, sit lower amid mixed results and the track’s unknowns, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in Antonelli’s title momentum against the potential for chaos on an untested venue.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 13, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$31,250
Data de Término
20 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli enters the 2026 Spanish Grand Prix at the new Madring circuit as the clear market leader due to his dominant recent form, including a record-setting home victory at Monza from 19th on the grid that extended his Drivers’ Championship advantage to around 66 points over teammate George Russell. Mercedes’ strong season pace underpins his 34.5% implied probability, though the debut Madrid layout—featuring a fast opening sector and tight low-speed corners—raises expectations of safety cars and incidents that could shuffle the order. Lando Norris (20.5%) benefits from McLaren’s consistent competitiveness and recent podiums, while Russell (14.5%) draws support from Mercedes’ qualifying edge. Ferrari’s Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc, plus Red Bull’s Max Verstappen, sit lower amid mixed results and the track’s unknowns, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in Antonelli’s title momentum against the potential for chaos on an untested venue.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 13, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$31,250
Data de Término
20 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Grande Prémio de Espanha: Vencedor do Piloto" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 34%, followed by "Lando Norris" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Grande Prémio de Espanha: Vencedor do Piloto" has generated $31.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Grande Prémio de Espanha: Vencedor do Piloto," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grande Prémio de Espanha: Vencedor do Piloto" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lando Norris" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grande Prémio de Espanha: Vencedor do Piloto" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.