**Trader consensus centers on the 2.55M–2.7M turnout bracket as the modal outcome in Colorado’s November 3 U.S. Senate contest, with adjacent ranges trading within a few points amid a non-competitive race.** Incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper faces Republican state Sen. Mark Baisley in a contest rated Safe or Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reducing the incentive for maximum mobilization compared with battlegrounds. Colorado’s universal mail ballot system has historically supported elevated participation, yet recent primary data showed subdued early returns and heavy reliance on older voters, signaling baseline enthusiasm levels that may carry into the general election. Limited national attention, stable registration figures near 4.4 million, and absence of major late-breaking catalysts keep the distribution tight across the 2.1M–3M+ brackets. Any shift would likely require unexpected developments such as intensified get-out-the-vote spending, weather disruptions on Election Day, or broader national events altering voter engagement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado do Colorado: comparecimento às urnas
2,1M-2,25M 24%
2,85M-3M 23%
2,4M-2,55M 19%
2,7M-2,85M 14%
<2,1M
13%
2,1M-2,25M
24%
2,25M-2,4M
11%
2,4M-2,55M
19%
2,55M-2,7M
6%
2,7M-2,85M
14%
2,85M-3M
23%
3M+
14%
2,1M-2,25M 24%
2,85M-3M 23%
2,4M-2,55M 19%
2,7M-2,85M 14%
<2,1M
13%
2,1M-2,25M
24%
2,25M-2,4M
11%
2,4M-2,55M
19%
2,55M-2,7M
6%
2,7M-2,85M
14%
2,85M-3M
23%
3M+
14%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on the 2.55M–2.7M turnout bracket as the modal outcome in Colorado’s November 3 U.S. Senate contest, with adjacent ranges trading within a few points amid a non-competitive race.** Incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper faces Republican state Sen. Mark Baisley in a contest rated Safe or Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reducing the incentive for maximum mobilization compared with battlegrounds. Colorado’s universal mail ballot system has historically supported elevated participation, yet recent primary data showed subdued early returns and heavy reliance on older voters, signaling baseline enthusiasm levels that may carry into the general election. Limited national attention, stable registration figures near 4.4 million, and absence of major late-breaking catalysts keep the distribution tight across the 2.1M–3M+ brackets. Any shift would likely require unexpected developments such as intensified get-out-the-vote spending, weather disruptions on Election Day, or broader national events altering voter engagement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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