**President Ahmed al-Sharaa holds a five-year transitional mandate that runs well beyond December 2026, following his formal appointment in January 2025 after leading the HTS-led offensive that ousted Bashar al-Assad.** As of mid-2026, he continues to consolidate authority through security and intelligence reshuffles, including an expanded role for the interior minister announced in July 2026. International engagement has advanced, with UN sanctions lifted on him and key officials in late 2025, multiple meetings with U.S. President Trump, and ongoing diplomatic efforts such as pursuing a security agreement with Israel. No major internal challenges, rival power centers, or external interventions have emerged in recent months to threaten his position. Trader consensus at 93.5% "No" reflects this institutional entrenchment and the absence of credible near-term removal scenarios within the market’s resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAhmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Sim
7% chance
$69,685 Vol.
$69,685 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Sim
7% chance
$69,685 Vol.
$69,685 Vol.
30 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Ahmed al-Sharaa holds a five-year transitional mandate that runs well beyond December 2026, following his formal appointment in January 2025 after leading the HTS-led offensive that ousted Bashar al-Assad.**
As of mid-2026, he continues to consolidate authority through security and intelligence reshuffles, including an expanded role for the interior minister announced in July 2026. International engagement has advanced, with UN sanctions lifted on him and key officials in late 2025, multiple meetings with U.S. President Trump, and ongoing diplomatic efforts such as pursuing a security agreement with Israel. No major internal challenges, rival power centers, or external interventions have emerged in recent months to threaten his position. Trader consensus at 93.5% "No" reflects this institutional entrenchment and the absence of credible near-term removal scenarios within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
Volume
$69,685Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Ahmed al-Sharaa holds a five-year transitional mandate that runs well beyond December 2026, following his formal appointment in January 2025 after leading the HTS-led offensive that ousted Bashar al-Assad.**
As of mid-2026, he continues to consolidate authority through security and intelligence reshuffles, including an expanded role for the interior minister announced in July 2026. International engagement has advanced, with UN sanctions lifted on him and key officials in late 2025, multiple meetings with U.S. President Trump, and ongoing diplomatic efforts such as pursuing a security agreement with Israel. No major internal challenges, rival power centers, or external interventions have emerged in recent months to threaten his position. Trader consensus at 93.5% "No" reflects this institutional entrenchment and the absence of credible near-term removal scenarios within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$69,685Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Ahmed al-Sharaa holds a five-year transitional mandate that runs well beyond December 2026, following his formal appointment in January 2025 after leading the HTS-led offensive that ousted Bashar al-Assad.** As of mid-2026, he continues to consolidate authority through security and intelligence reshuffles, including an expanded role for the interior minister announced in July 2026. International engagement has advanced, with UN sanctions lifted on him and key officials in late 2025, multiple meetings with U.S. President Trump, and ongoing diplomatic efforts such as pursuing a security agreement with Israel. No major internal challenges, rival power centers, or external interventions have emerged in recent months to threaten his position. Trader consensus at 93.5% "No" reflects this institutional entrenchment and the absence of credible near-term removal scenarios within the market’s resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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