Scottie Scheffler leads the 2026 U.S. Open winner market at Shinnecock Hills as the clear favorite, though his 13% implied probability reflects a less dominant 2026 season with fewer victories than prior years despite consistent contention and strong tee-to-green metrics. Rory McIlroy sits next at 5.5%, buoyed by recent form and a long-awaited chance to claim his first U.S. Open title since 2011, while a deep group including Matt Fitzpatrick, Jon Rahm, Tommy Fleetwood, Xander Schauffele, and Cameron Young clusters tightly behind due to the course’s demands for precise ball-striking, iron play, and handling firm, windy links-style conditions. Multiple past champions and in-form players hold realistic paths, keeping the field wide open heading into the week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoScottie Scheffler 13%
Rory McIlroy 6%
Matt Fitzpatrick 4.2%
Jon Rahm 4%
$23,642 Vol.
$23,642 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
13%
Rory McIlroy
6%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Jon Rahm
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Bryson DeChambeau
2%
Sam Burns
2%
Tyrrell Hatton
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Justin Rose
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Jordan Spieth
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Harris English
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
David Puig
1%
Jake Knapp
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Jackson Koivun
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
JT Poston
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Jayden Schaper
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Jackson Suber
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Lucas Herbert
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Carlos Ortiz
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Benjamin James
<1%
Ben Kohles
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Nathan Kimsey
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Matthew Jordan
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Cole Hammer
<1%
Nick Hardy
<1%
Graeme McDowell
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 13%
Rory McIlroy 6%
Matt Fitzpatrick 4.2%
Jon Rahm 4%
$23,642 Vol.
$23,642 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
13%
Rory McIlroy
6%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Jon Rahm
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Bryson DeChambeau
2%
Sam Burns
2%
Tyrrell Hatton
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Justin Rose
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Jordan Spieth
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Harris English
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
David Puig
1%
Jake Knapp
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Jackson Koivun
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
JT Poston
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Jayden Schaper
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Jackson Suber
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Lucas Herbert
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Carlos Ortiz
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Benjamin James
<1%
Ben Kohles
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Nathan Kimsey
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Matthew Jordan
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Cole Hammer
<1%
Nick Hardy
<1%
Graeme McDowell
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Fonte de resolução
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler leads the 2026 U.S. Open winner market at Shinnecock Hills as the clear favorite, though his 13% implied probability reflects a less dominant 2026 season with fewer victories than prior years despite consistent contention and strong tee-to-green metrics. Rory McIlroy sits next at 5.5%, buoyed by recent form and a long-awaited chance to claim his first U.S. Open title since 2011, while a deep group including Matt Fitzpatrick, Jon Rahm, Tommy Fleetwood, Xander Schauffele, and Cameron Young clusters tightly behind due to the course’s demands for precise ball-striking, iron play, and handling firm, windy links-style conditions. Multiple past champions and in-form players hold realistic paths, keeping the field wide open heading into the week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions