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Moon Landing predictions & odds

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Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

3%

$2M Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

34

Ends in 7 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

88%

August 31

$14.8K Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

76%

50

$21.0K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

53%

↓ 0.0010

$116K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

55%

↑ 76

$98.8K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

56%

December 31, 2027

$501K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 16?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 16?

100%

$775

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

8%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

10

What price will Ethena hit in June?

What price will Ethena hit in June?

14%

↑ 0.12

$2.8K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

30%

↑ $3

$696K Vol.

$33.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 16?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 16?

100%

$85

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

100%

$730

$13.2K Vol.

$61.6K Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

3%

$29.9K Vol.

$59.8K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

60%

↓ 0.40

$69.5K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

What price will BNB hit in June?

What price will BNB hit in June?

14%

↓ 500

$22.5K Vol.

$52.5K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in June 2026?

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in June 2026?

23%

↑ $140

$36.5K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in June 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in June 2026?

41%

↓ $280

$46.4K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of June 15 2026?

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of June 15 2026?

95%

↑ $104

$1.5K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

10%

December 31

$53M Vol.

$434K today

$3M Liq.

1,541

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Moon Landing.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Moon Landing that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Human moon landing in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $59.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump goes to space in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 10% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Moon Landing predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.