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Wybory·Wybory W USA

Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?

icon for Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?
Wybory·Wybory W USA

Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?

Mary Peltola 64%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan 32.9%

Earl D. "Skip" Southworth 3.6%

Richard Grayson 1.6%

Polymarket

$15,493 Wol.

Mary Peltola 64%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan 32.9%

Earl D. "Skip" Southworth 3.6%

Richard Grayson 1.6%

Polymarket

$15,493 Wol.

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$3,379 Wol.

64%

icon for Sen. Dan S. Sullivan

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan

$1,652 Wol.

33%

Earl D. "Skip" Southworth

$547 Wol.

4%

icon for Richard Grayson

Richard Grayson

$643 Wol.

2%

Heather McElwain

$540 Wol.

1%

Shirley Saucerman

$508 Wol.

1%

Richard Benedict Mayers

$545 Wol.

1%

icon for David Leslie

David Leslie

$2,773 Wol.

1%

icon for Dan J. Sullivan

Dan J. Sullivan

$1,090 Wol.

1%

icon for Scott Kohlhaas

Scott Kohlhaas

$493 Wol.

1%

icon for Dustin Darden

Dustin Darden

$599 Wol.

<1%

Fred C. Grauberger

$625 Wol.

<1%

icon for Reece Roberts

Reece Roberts

$556 Wol.

<1%

icon for Carol Hafner

Carol Hafner

$491 Wol.

<1%

icon for Gerald L. Heikes

Gerald L. Heikes

$502 Wol.

<1%

icon for Sid Hill

Sid Hill

$550 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. **In Alaska’s August 18, 2026 nonpartisan top-four primary, a crowded field of roughly 15–20 candidates—including incumbent Sen. Dan S. Sullivan (R), former Rep. Mary Peltola (D), a second Republican named Dan J. Sullivan, Dustin Darden, and numerous lesser-known contenders—makes the plurality vote leader highly uncertain, keeping market odds tightly clustered near even or low probabilities for any single name.** The recent Alaska Supreme Court ruling allowing the second Dan Sullivan on the ballot has amplified voter-confusion risks in a system where only the top four advance to the ranked-choice general, potentially splitting Republican-leaning votes while Peltola benefits from statewide name recognition after her prior wins. Incumbent Sullivan holds structural advantages in fundraising and party infrastructure, yet recent general-election polling shows Peltola competitive or ahead, underscoring the open primary’s volatility. Minor candidates face steep barriers from low visibility and limited resources. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation: no candidate has consolidated broad support weeks out, and outcomes hinge on turnout, name-recognition effects, and any late endorsements or spending surges that could separate frontrunners before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Wolumen
$15,493
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. **In Alaska’s August 18, 2026 nonpartisan top-four primary, a crowded field of roughly 15–20 candidates—including incumbent Sen. Dan S. Sullivan (R), former Rep. Mary Peltola (D), a second Republican named Dan J. Sullivan, Dustin Darden, and numerous lesser-known contenders—makes the plurality vote leader highly uncertain, keeping market odds tightly clustered near even or low probabilities for any single name.** The recent Alaska Supreme Court ruling allowing the second Dan Sullivan on the ballot has amplified voter-confusion risks in a system where only the top four advance to the ranked-choice general, potentially splitting Republican-leaning votes while Peltola benefits from statewide name recognition after her prior wins. Incumbent Sullivan holds structural advantages in fundraising and party infrastructure, yet recent general-election polling shows Peltola competitive or ahead, underscoring the open primary’s volatility. Minor candidates face steep barriers from low visibility and limited resources. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation: no candidate has consolidated broad support weeks out, and outcomes hinge on turnout, name-recognition effects, and any late endorsements or spending surges that could separate frontrunners before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Wolumen
$15,493
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.

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Tak

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"Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 16 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Mary Peltola" z 64%, za nim "Sen. Dan S. Sullivan" z 33%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 64¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 64% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?" wygenerował $15.5K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jul 1, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?", przeglądaj 16 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?" jest "Mary Peltola" z 64%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 64% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Sen. Dan S. Sullivan" z 33%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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