Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan seeks a third term against Democrat Mary Peltola in Alaska's November 3 general election, which features ranked-choice voting after an August 18 open primary. Recent Alaska Survey Research polls show narrow margins, with Peltola holding slim leads in some surveys and Sullivan ahead in others, consistent with toss-up ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report. Peltola's stronger fundraising, labor endorsements, and grassroots outreach have narrowed the gap in this historically Republican-leaning state, while Sullivan benefits from incumbency and party infrastructure. A same-name Republican primary challenger has sparked ballot confusion concerns that could influence vote distribution under the system. Trader consensus remains tightly matched, with separation likely depending on primary results, turnout among key voting blocs, and any shifts in polling aggregates before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 52%
Dan Sullivan 49%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$391,599 Wol.
$391,599 Wol.
Mary Peltola
52%
Dan Sullivan
49%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 52%
Dan Sullivan 49%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$391,599 Wol.
$391,599 Wol.
Mary Peltola
52%
Dan Sullivan
49%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan seeks a third term against Democrat Mary Peltola in Alaska's November 3 general election, which features ranked-choice voting after an August 18 open primary. Recent Alaska Survey Research polls show narrow margins, with Peltola holding slim leads in some surveys and Sullivan ahead in others, consistent with toss-up ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report. Peltola's stronger fundraising, labor endorsements, and grassroots outreach have narrowed the gap in this historically Republican-leaning state, while Sullivan benefits from incumbency and party infrastructure. A same-name Republican primary challenger has sparked ballot confusion concerns that could influence vote distribution under the system. Trader consensus remains tightly matched, with separation likely depending on primary results, turnout among key voting blocs, and any shifts in polling aggregates before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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