The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Texas’s 23rd congressional district due to its established Republican tilt, including a 15-point Trump margin in 2024 and voter composition across South and West Texas counties. The April 2026 resignation of incumbent Tony Gonzales amid scandal opened the race, allowing Brandon Herrera to secure the GOP nomination after his earlier primary challenge and consolidate party support ahead of the November 3 general election. June 2026 polling showed Herrera ahead by single digits against Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout. The DCCC’s recent addition of the seat to its target list reflects national Democratic attention to the Hispanic-majority electorate, yet trader consensus prices these structural and candidate factors as favoring the Republican outcome by roughly a 2-to-1 margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-23 House Election Winner
TX-23 House Election Winner
$33,208 Wol.
$33,208 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
69%
Democratic Party
30%
$33,208 Wol.
$33,208 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,050 Wol.
69%
Democratic Party
$14,158 Wol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Texas’s 23rd congressional district due to its established Republican tilt, including a 15-point Trump margin in 2024 and voter composition across South and West Texas counties. The April 2026 resignation of incumbent Tony Gonzales amid scandal opened the race, allowing Brandon Herrera to secure the GOP nomination after his earlier primary challenge and consolidate party support ahead of the November 3 general election. June 2026 polling showed Herrera ahead by single digits against Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout. The DCCC’s recent addition of the seat to its target list reflects national Democratic attention to the Hispanic-majority electorate, yet trader consensus prices these structural and candidate factors as favoring the Republican outcome by roughly a 2-to-1 margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,208Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Texas’s 23rd congressional district due to its established Republican tilt, including a 15-point Trump margin in 2024 and voter composition across South and West Texas counties. The April 2026 resignation of incumbent Tony Gonzales amid scandal opened the race, allowing Brandon Herrera to secure the GOP nomination after his earlier primary challenge and consolidate party support ahead of the November 3 general election. June 2026 polling showed Herrera ahead by single digits against Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout. The DCCC’s recent addition of the seat to its target list reflects national Democratic attention to the Hispanic-majority electorate, yet trader consensus prices these structural and candidate factors as favoring the Republican outcome by roughly a 2-to-1 margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$33,208Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Texas’s 23rd congressional district due to its established Republican tilt, including a 15-point Trump margin in 2024 and voter composition across South and West Texas counties. The April 2026 resignation of incumbent Tony Gonzales amid scandal opened the race, allowing Brandon Herrera to secure the GOP nomination after his earlier primary challenge and consolidate party support ahead of the November 3 general election. June 2026 polling showed Herrera ahead by single digits against Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout. The DCCC’s recent addition of the seat to its target list reflects national Democratic attention to the Hispanic-majority electorate, yet trader consensus prices these structural and candidate factors as favoring the Republican outcome by roughly a 2-to-1 margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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