Recent polling averages place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen marginally ahead of Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) at 4–5 percent each in the run-up to the September 6, 2026 Landtag election, with Grüne frequently showing a one-point edge in surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix. The Greens benefit from established state-level organization, prior parliamentary representation, and a focused campaign stressing climate policy and opposition to an AfD-led government. BSW, contesting its first state election with dual lead candidates amid internal coordination challenges, has emphasized social and economic critiques of the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition while signaling it will remain in opposition. Both parties hover near the five-percent threshold, and the narrow, fluctuating gap in vote-share estimates underpins trader consensus favoring a Grüne plurality.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGrüne
68% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
Grüne
68% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen marginally ahead of Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) at 4–5 percent each in the run-up to the September 6, 2026 Landtag election, with Grüne frequently showing a one-point edge in surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix. The Greens benefit from established state-level organization, prior parliamentary representation, and a focused campaign stressing climate policy and opposition to an AfD-led government. BSW, contesting its first state election with dual lead candidates amid internal coordination challenges, has emphasized social and economic critiques of the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition while signaling it will remain in opposition. Both parties hover near the five-percent threshold, and the narrow, fluctuating gap in vote-share estimates underpins trader consensus favoring a Grüne plurality.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,701Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen marginally ahead of Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) at 4–5 percent each in the run-up to the September 6, 2026 Landtag election, with Grüne frequently showing a one-point edge in surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix. The Greens benefit from established state-level organization, prior parliamentary representation, and a focused campaign stressing climate policy and opposition to an AfD-led government. BSW, contesting its first state election with dual lead candidates amid internal coordination challenges, has emphasized social and economic critiques of the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition while signaling it will remain in opposition. Both parties hover near the five-percent threshold, and the narrow, fluctuating gap in vote-share estimates underpins trader consensus favoring a Grüne plurality.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Wolumen
$2,701Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling averages place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen marginally ahead of Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) at 4–5 percent each in the run-up to the September 6, 2026 Landtag election, with Grüne frequently showing a one-point edge in surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix. The Greens benefit from established state-level organization, prior parliamentary representation, and a focused campaign stressing climate policy and opposition to an AfD-led government. BSW, contesting its first state election with dual lead candidates amid internal coordination challenges, has emphasized social and economic critiques of the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition while signaling it will remain in opposition. Both parties hover near the five-percent threshold, and the narrow, fluctuating gap in vote-share estimates underpins trader consensus favoring a Grüne plurality.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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