The September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt state election delivered official results placing the CDU at 17.2 percent on the party list, well below its 37.1 percent share from 2021 and consistent with late polling trends of 22–23 percent. The AfD’s record 43.8 percent surge, combined with high turnout near 78 percent, reflected voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-led coalition amid economic pressures and regional dynamics in eastern Germany. This outcome locked in the sub-20 percent band at near-certain implied probability. Limited upside scenarios for the CDU include minor adjustments from final seat allocations or recounts in individual districts, though these are unlikely to alter the overall percentage enough to reach 20 percent given the scale of the recorded decline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<20% 100.0%
20-23% <1%
23-26% <1%
26%+ <1%
$78,402 Wol.
$78,402 Wol.
Sep 6, 2026
<20%
100%
20-23%
<1%
23-26%
<1%
26%+
<1%
<20% 100.0%
20-23% <1%
23-26% <1%
26%+ <1%
$78,402 Wol.
$78,402 Wol.
Sep 6, 2026
<20%
$24,799 Wol.
100%
20-23%
$25,992 Wol.
<1%
23-26%
$15,616 Wol.
<1%
26%+
$11,996 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt state election delivered official results placing the CDU at 17.2 percent on the party list, well below its 37.1 percent share from 2021 and consistent with late polling trends of 22–23 percent. The AfD’s record 43.8 percent surge, combined with high turnout near 78 percent, reflected voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-led coalition amid economic pressures and regional dynamics in eastern Germany. This outcome locked in the sub-20 percent band at near-certain implied probability. Limited upside scenarios for the CDU include minor adjustments from final seat allocations or recounts in individual districts, though these are unlikely to alter the overall percentage enough to reach 20 percent given the scale of the recorded decline.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$78,402Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt state election delivered official results placing the CDU at 17.2 percent on the party list, well below its 37.1 percent share from 2021 and consistent with late polling trends of 22–23 percent. The AfD’s record 43.8 percent surge, combined with high turnout near 78 percent, reflected voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-led coalition amid economic pressures and regional dynamics in eastern Germany. This outcome locked in the sub-20 percent band at near-certain implied probability. Limited upside scenarios for the CDU include minor adjustments from final seat allocations or recounts in individual districts, though these are unlikely to alter the overall percentage enough to reach 20 percent given the scale of the recorded decline.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Wolumen
$78,402Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt state election delivered official results placing the CDU at 17.2 percent on the party list, well below its 37.1 percent share from 2021 and consistent with late polling trends of 22–23 percent. The AfD’s record 43.8 percent surge, combined with high turnout near 78 percent, reflected voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-led coalition amid economic pressures and regional dynamics in eastern Germany. This outcome locked in the sub-20 percent band at near-certain implied probability. Limited upside scenarios for the CDU include minor adjustments from final seat allocations or recounts in individual districts, though these are unlikely to alter the overall percentage enough to reach 20 percent given the scale of the recorded decline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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