Recent polling ahead of the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election places the BSW at 3–5 percent, consistent with the market's leading outcome. Multiple surveys from late August and early September, including those by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and INSA, show the party at approximately 4 percent, near but typically below the five-percent threshold required for parliamentary entry. This positioning reflects the BSW's limited organizational presence in the state since its 2024 founding, competition from established parties on similar policy terrain, and voter fragmentation among smaller options. No major late-campaign shifts or endorsements have altered the trajectory in recent weeks, leaving the result sensitive to turnout among undecided voters.