Oregon's strong Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris's 14-point 2024 margin, underpins the trader consensus favoring incumbent Tina Kotek at 85.5% implied probability. Kotek secured her party's nomination easily in the May primary and benefits from incumbency plus the absence of a Republican governor since 1982. Her rematch against Christine Drazan, who won the GOP nod with 41% in May, features a race rated Likely Democratic by outlets such as the Cook Political Report. Recent polls show a tighter contest than fundamentals suggest, with one Republican-sponsored survey in June placing Drazan narrowly ahead, yet structural factors including voter registration and historical turnout patterns continue to anchor market pricing ahead of the November 3 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOregon Governor Election Winner
Oregon Governor Election Winner
$40,989 Wol.
$40,989 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
86%
Republican
14%
$40,989 Wol.
$40,989 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$23,362 Wol.
86%
Republican
$17,627 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oregon's strong Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris's 14-point 2024 margin, underpins the trader consensus favoring incumbent Tina Kotek at 85.5% implied probability. Kotek secured her party's nomination easily in the May primary and benefits from incumbency plus the absence of a Republican governor since 1982. Her rematch against Christine Drazan, who won the GOP nod with 41% in May, features a race rated Likely Democratic by outlets such as the Cook Political Report. Recent polls show a tighter contest than fundamentals suggest, with one Republican-sponsored survey in June placing Drazan narrowly ahead, yet structural factors including voter registration and historical turnout patterns continue to anchor market pricing ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Wolumen
$40,989Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oregon's strong Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris's 14-point 2024 margin, underpins the trader consensus favoring incumbent Tina Kotek at 85.5% implied probability. Kotek secured her party's nomination easily in the May primary and benefits from incumbency plus the absence of a Republican governor since 1982. Her rematch against Christine Drazan, who won the GOP nod with 41% in May, features a race rated Likely Democratic by outlets such as the Cook Political Report. Recent polls show a tighter contest than fundamentals suggest, with one Republican-sponsored survey in June placing Drazan narrowly ahead, yet structural factors including voter registration and historical turnout patterns continue to anchor market pricing ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$40,989Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's strong Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris's 14-point 2024 margin, underpins the trader consensus favoring incumbent Tina Kotek at 85.5% implied probability. Kotek secured her party's nomination easily in the May primary and benefits from incumbency plus the absence of a Republican governor since 1982. Her rematch against Christine Drazan, who won the GOP nod with 41% in May, features a race rated Likely Democratic by outlets such as the Cook Political Report. Recent polls show a tighter contest than fundamentals suggest, with one Republican-sponsored survey in June placing Drazan narrowly ahead, yet structural factors including voter registration and historical turnout patterns continue to anchor market pricing ahead of the November 3 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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