Recent polling shows the CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered within a few points ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, creating a fragmented field where no party is positioned to govern alone. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal after criticism of his handling of a January power outage shifted the CDU lead to Finance Senator Stefan Evers, while Die Linke’s Elif Eralp and the Greens’ Werner Graf compete for left-leaning coalitions and the SPD’s Steffen Krach seeks to stabilize the current black-red partnership. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with coalition arithmetic and potential post-election negotiations likely to determine the governing mayor rather than any single party’s outright plurality. Late campaign events or turnout shifts among key voter blocs could still alter the balance before voting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Elif Eralp 44%
Stefan Evers 42%
Werner Graf 11.4%
Steffen Krach 1.1%
$72,474 Wol.
$72,474 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
Elif Eralp
44%
Stefan Evers
42%
Werner Graf
11%
Steffen Krach
1%
Kristin Brinker
<1%
Elif Eralp 44%
Stefan Evers 42%
Werner Graf 11.4%
Steffen Krach 1.1%
$72,474 Wol.
$72,474 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
Elif Eralp
$38,526 Wol.
44%
Stefan Evers
$20,075 Wol.
42%
Werner Graf
$8,933 Wol.
11%
Steffen Krach
$2,332 Wol.
1%
Kristin Brinker
$2,609 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling shows the CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered within a few points ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, creating a fragmented field where no party is positioned to govern alone. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal after criticism of his handling of a January power outage shifted the CDU lead to Finance Senator Stefan Evers, while Die Linke’s Elif Eralp and the Greens’ Werner Graf compete for left-leaning coalitions and the SPD’s Steffen Krach seeks to stabilize the current black-red partnership. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with coalition arithmetic and potential post-election negotiations likely to determine the governing mayor rather than any single party’s outright plurality. Late campaign events or turnout shifts among key voter blocs could still alter the balance before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Wolumen
$72,474Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling shows the CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered within a few points ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, creating a fragmented field where no party is positioned to govern alone. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal after criticism of his handling of a January power outage shifted the CDU lead to Finance Senator Stefan Evers, while Die Linke’s Elif Eralp and the Greens’ Werner Graf compete for left-leaning coalitions and the SPD’s Steffen Krach seeks to stabilize the current black-red partnership. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with coalition arithmetic and potential post-election negotiations likely to determine the governing mayor rather than any single party’s outright plurality. Late campaign events or turnout shifts among key voter blocs could still alter the balance before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$72,474Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered within a few points ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, creating a fragmented field where no party is positioned to govern alone. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal after criticism of his handling of a January power outage shifted the CDU lead to Finance Senator Stefan Evers, while Die Linke’s Elif Eralp and the Greens’ Werner Graf compete for left-leaning coalitions and the SPD’s Steffen Krach seeks to stabilize the current black-red partnership. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with coalition arithmetic and potential post-election negotiations likely to determine the governing mayor rather than any single party’s outright plurality. Late campaign events or turnout shifts among key voter blocs could still alter the balance before voting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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