New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, features Democratic Representative Chris Pappas as the clear primary frontrunner against Karishma Manzur ahead of the September 8 vote, while former Senator John Sununu holds a dominant lead in the Republican primary over Scott Brown. General election polling through late August shows a tight contest between Pappas and Sununu, with aggregates indicating a modest Democratic edge in a state that supported the Democratic presidential nominee by roughly three points in 2024. Race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the matchup as Lean Democratic, though one recent shift to toss-up status highlights its competitiveness. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these polling trends, primary dynamics, and the state’s modest structural tilt toward Democrats.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNew Hampshire Senate Election Winner
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
$96,152 Wol.
$96,152 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
84%
Republican
18%
$96,152 Wol.
$96,152 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$66,572 Wol.
84%
Republican
$29,581 Wol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, features Democratic Representative Chris Pappas as the clear primary frontrunner against Karishma Manzur ahead of the September 8 vote, while former Senator John Sununu holds a dominant lead in the Republican primary over Scott Brown. General election polling through late August shows a tight contest between Pappas and Sununu, with aggregates indicating a modest Democratic edge in a state that supported the Democratic presidential nominee by roughly three points in 2024. Race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the matchup as Lean Democratic, though one recent shift to toss-up status highlights its competitiveness. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these polling trends, primary dynamics, and the state’s modest structural tilt toward Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$96,152Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, features Democratic Representative Chris Pappas as the clear primary frontrunner against Karishma Manzur ahead of the September 8 vote, while former Senator John Sununu holds a dominant lead in the Republican primary over Scott Brown. General election polling through late August shows a tight contest between Pappas and Sununu, with aggregates indicating a modest Democratic edge in a state that supported the Democratic presidential nominee by roughly three points in 2024. Race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the matchup as Lean Democratic, though one recent shift to toss-up status highlights its competitiveness. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these polling trends, primary dynamics, and the state’s modest structural tilt toward Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$96,152Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, features Democratic Representative Chris Pappas as the clear primary frontrunner against Karishma Manzur ahead of the September 8 vote, while former Senator John Sununu holds a dominant lead in the Republican primary over Scott Brown. General election polling through late August shows a tight contest between Pappas and Sununu, with aggregates indicating a modest Democratic edge in a state that supported the Democratic presidential nominee by roughly three points in 2024. Race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the matchup as Lean Democratic, though one recent shift to toss-up status highlights its competitiveness. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these polling trends, primary dynamics, and the state’s modest structural tilt toward Democrats.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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