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icon for Nevada Governor Election: Turnout
Polityka·Egzaminy śródokresowe

Nevada Governor Election: Turnout

icon for Nevada Governor Election: Turnout
Polityka·Egzaminy śródokresowe

Nevada Governor Election: Turnout

1.05M-1.125M 30%

<900K 24%

1.2M-1.275M 18%

975K-1.05M 16%

Polymarket
NOWE

1.05M-1.125M 30%

<900K 24%

1.2M-1.275M 18%

975K-1.05M 16%

Polymarket
NOWE

<900K

$268 Wol.

24%

900K-975K

$143 Wol.

12%

975K-1.05M

$188 Wol.

16%

1.05M-1.125M

$103 Wol.

30%

1.125M-1.2M

$163 Wol.

9%

1.2M-1.275M

$179 Wol.

18%

1.275M-1.35M

$103 Wol.

1%

1.35M+

$115 Wol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Nevada governor race between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, with recent polls showing margins under 5 points, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 1.05–1.125 million votes. Active registered voters stand at roughly 2.06 million after extensive list maintenance, while nonpartisan voters now form the largest bloc at nearly 797,000. Modest primary participation near 20 percent, heavy reliance on mail ballots, and voter focus on affordability, housing shortages, and energy costs create competing pressures on mobilization. A tight contest and suburban engagement could lift participation toward 2022 midterm levels, yet reduced rolls and uneven Clark County trends keep the distribution of outcomes clustered around the leading bins.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,261
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Nevada governor race between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, with recent polls showing margins under 5 points, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 1.05–1.125 million votes. Active registered voters stand at roughly 2.06 million after extensive list maintenance, while nonpartisan voters now form the largest bloc at nearly 797,000. Modest primary participation near 20 percent, heavy reliance on mail ballots, and voter focus on affordability, housing shortages, and energy costs create competing pressures on mobilization. A tight contest and suburban engagement could lift participation toward 2022 midterm levels, yet reduced rolls and uneven Clark County trends keep the distribution of outcomes clustered around the leading bins.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,261
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Nevada Governor Election: Turnout" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 8 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "1.05M-1.125M" z 30%, za nim "<900K" z 24%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 30¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 30% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Nevada Governor Election: Turnout" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 18, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Nevada Governor Election: Turnout", przeglądaj 8 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Nevada Governor Election: Turnout" jest "1.05M-1.125M" z 30%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 30% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "<900K" z 24%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Nevada Governor Election: Turnout" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.