Trader sentiment centers on National Weather Service and private model consensus projecting a minimum temperature in the mid-70s for New York City on August 10 amid an above-average August pattern with heatwave potential through mid-month. Persistent southwesterly flow, elevated dew points, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions support overnight lows near 74–77 °F, with urban heat-island effects in Central Park adding slight upward bias. Close probabilities across the 74–77 °F bins reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover or weak frontal influence that could trim or sustain warmth. Updated short-range guidance from NOAA and local offices, along with evening observations on August 9, will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 10?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 10?
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
6%
82°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
63°F or below
$31 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$31 Wol.
1%
66-67°F
$10 Wol.
1%
68-69°F
$32 Wol.
5%
70-71°F
$52 Wol.
10%
72-73°F
$44 Wol.
24%
74-75°F
$142 Wol.
23%
76-77°F
$32 Wol.
27%
78-79°F
$63 Wol.
18%
80-81°F
$40 Wol.
6%
82°F or higher
$82 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on National Weather Service and private model consensus projecting a minimum temperature in the mid-70s for New York City on August 10 amid an above-average August pattern with heatwave potential through mid-month. Persistent southwesterly flow, elevated dew points, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions support overnight lows near 74–77 °F, with urban heat-island effects in Central Park adding slight upward bias. Close probabilities across the 74–77 °F bins reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover or weak frontal influence that could trim or sustain warmth. Updated short-range guidance from NOAA and local offices, along with evening observations on August 9, will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$560Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on National Weather Service and private model consensus projecting a minimum temperature in the mid-70s for New York City on August 10 amid an above-average August pattern with heatwave potential through mid-month. Persistent southwesterly flow, elevated dew points, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions support overnight lows near 74–77 °F, with urban heat-island effects in Central Park adding slight upward bias. Close probabilities across the 74–77 °F bins reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover or weak frontal influence that could trim or sustain warmth. Updated short-range guidance from NOAA and local offices, along with evening observations on August 9, will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$560Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on National Weather Service and private model consensus projecting a minimum temperature in the mid-70s for New York City on August 10 amid an above-average August pattern with heatwave potential through mid-month. Persistent southwesterly flow, elevated dew points, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions support overnight lows near 74–77 °F, with urban heat-island effects in Central Park adding slight upward bias. Close probabilities across the 74–77 °F bins reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover or weak frontal influence that could trim or sustain warmth. Updated short-range guidance from NOAA and local offices, along with evening observations on August 9, will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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