Recent forecasts from ensemble models including ECMWF and ICON indicate a shift to westerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers on September 9, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered near the 12–14 °C range. Persistent moisture and light winds from the northwest will further moderate the diurnal drop, aligning with the market-implied odds where 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C each attract roughly 30 % trader consensus. Historical September 9 averages near 11 °C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions favor values slightly above the long-term norm. Model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture introduces the primary uncertainty, with updated runs from DWD and ECMWF expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 9?
13°C 35%
12°C 30%
14°C 29%
11°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
4%
9°C
6%
10°C
6%
11°C
22%
12°C
30%
13°C
35%
14°C
29%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
12%
13°C 35%
12°C 30%
14°C 29%
11°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
$75 Wol.
4%
9°C
$10 Wol.
6%
10°C
$0 Wol.
6%
11°C
$0 Wol.
22%
12°C
$0 Wol.
30%
13°C
$0 Wol.
35%
14°C
$4 Wol.
29%
15°C
$63 Wol.
5%
16°C
$0 Wol.
9%
17°C
$30 Wol.
2%
18°C or higher
$40 Wol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ensemble models including ECMWF and ICON indicate a shift to westerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers on September 9, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered near the 12–14 °C range. Persistent moisture and light winds from the northwest will further moderate the diurnal drop, aligning with the market-implied odds where 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C each attract roughly 30 % trader consensus. Historical September 9 averages near 11 °C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions favor values slightly above the long-term norm. Model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture introduces the primary uncertainty, with updated runs from DWD and ECMWF expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$221Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ensemble models including ECMWF and ICON indicate a shift to westerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers on September 9, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered near the 12–14 °C range. Persistent moisture and light winds from the northwest will further moderate the diurnal drop, aligning with the market-implied odds where 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C each attract roughly 30 % trader consensus. Historical September 9 averages near 11 °C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions favor values slightly above the long-term norm. Model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture introduces the primary uncertainty, with updated runs from DWD and ECMWF expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$221Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from ensemble models including ECMWF and ICON indicate a shift to westerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers on September 9, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered near the 12–14 °C range. Persistent moisture and light winds from the northwest will further moderate the diurnal drop, aligning with the market-implied odds where 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C each attract roughly 30 % trader consensus. Historical September 9 averages near 11 °C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions favor values slightly above the long-term norm. Model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture introduces the primary uncertainty, with updated runs from DWD and ECMWF expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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