Current National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus points to a minimum temperature of 70–74°F in Los Angeles on September 11, driven by a cooling marine layer and onshore flow following several days of extreme heat with highs near or above 90°F. Recent observations at Los Angeles International Airport show overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s amid patchy fog development, consistent with typical September climatology where marine influence often caps minima near 64°F on average but is moderated here by lingering warmth. Traders assign the highest implied probability to the 72–73°F bin as model runs converge on this range, with limited upside risk from delayed clearing or stronger winds. Updated NWS guidance and overnight model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 11?
72-73°F 57%
74-75°F 30%
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
61°F or below
8%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
57%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
14%
80°F or higher
7%
72-73°F 57%
74-75°F 30%
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
61°F or below
$0 Wol.
8%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
9%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
9%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
14%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
22%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
11%
72-73°F
$116 Wol.
57%
74-75°F
$13 Wol.
30%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
14%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
14%
80°F or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus points to a minimum temperature of 70–74°F in Los Angeles on September 11, driven by a cooling marine layer and onshore flow following several days of extreme heat with highs near or above 90°F. Recent observations at Los Angeles International Airport show overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s amid patchy fog development, consistent with typical September climatology where marine influence often caps minima near 64°F on average but is moderated here by lingering warmth. Traders assign the highest implied probability to the 72–73°F bin as model runs converge on this range, with limited upside risk from delayed clearing or stronger winds. Updated NWS guidance and overnight model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$129Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus points to a minimum temperature of 70–74°F in Los Angeles on September 11, driven by a cooling marine layer and onshore flow following several days of extreme heat with highs near or above 90°F. Recent observations at Los Angeles International Airport show overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s amid patchy fog development, consistent with typical September climatology where marine influence often caps minima near 64°F on average but is moderated here by lingering warmth. Traders assign the highest implied probability to the 72–73°F bin as model runs converge on this range, with limited upside risk from delayed clearing or stronger winds. Updated NWS guidance and overnight model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$129Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus points to a minimum temperature of 70–74°F in Los Angeles on September 11, driven by a cooling marine layer and onshore flow following several days of extreme heat with highs near or above 90°F. Recent observations at Los Angeles International Airport show overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s amid patchy fog development, consistent with typical September climatology where marine influence often caps minima near 64°F on average but is moderated here by lingering warmth. Traders assign the highest implied probability to the 72–73°F bin as model runs converge on this range, with limited upside risk from delayed clearing or stronger winds. Updated NWS guidance and overnight model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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