**The observed minimum temperature of 61°F at Denver International Airport on September 4, 2026, recorded by the National Weather Service at 5:24 AM MDT, drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 60-61°F bin.** This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological normal low of 54°F by 7°F amid a hot, dry day with a maximum of 93°F, light winds, and no significant precipitation or cloud cover to enhance radiative cooling. Official station data from multiple NWS products, including the daily climate summary and preliminary local climatological data, align on this reading, leaving little room for alternative outcomes. Market-implied odds above 95% for this bin reflect the low uncertainty once preliminary observations confirmed the overnight low. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or station-specific adjustment, though historical patterns and model verification make such shifts unlikely after the fact.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Denver on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 4?
60-61°F 96%
56-57°F 61%
55°F or below 3.6%
58-59°F <1%
$3,234 Wol.
$3,234 Wol.
Sep 4, 2026
55°F or below
4%
56-57°F
61%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
96%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 96%
56-57°F 61%
55°F or below 3.6%
58-59°F <1%
$3,234 Wol.
$3,234 Wol.
Sep 4, 2026
55°F or below
$1,648 Wol.
4%
56-57°F
$22 Wol.
61%
58-59°F
$60 Wol.
1%
60-61°F
$416 Wol.
96%
62-63°F
$183 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$189 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$247 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$145 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$130 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$147 Wol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$47 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The observed minimum temperature of 61°F at Denver International Airport on September 4, 2026, recorded by the National Weather Service at 5:24 AM MDT, drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 60-61°F bin.** This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological normal low of 54°F by 7°F amid a hot, dry day with a maximum of 93°F, light winds, and no significant precipitation or cloud cover to enhance radiative cooling. Official station data from multiple NWS products, including the daily climate summary and preliminary local climatological data, align on this reading, leaving little room for alternative outcomes. Market-implied odds above 95% for this bin reflect the low uncertainty once preliminary observations confirmed the overnight low. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or station-specific adjustment, though historical patterns and model verification make such shifts unlikely after the fact.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,234Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The observed minimum temperature of 61°F at Denver International Airport on September 4, 2026, recorded by the National Weather Service at 5:24 AM MDT, drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 60-61°F bin.** This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological normal low of 54°F by 7°F amid a hot, dry day with a maximum of 93°F, light winds, and no significant precipitation or cloud cover to enhance radiative cooling. Official station data from multiple NWS products, including the daily climate summary and preliminary local climatological data, align on this reading, leaving little room for alternative outcomes. Market-implied odds above 95% for this bin reflect the low uncertainty once preliminary observations confirmed the overnight low. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or station-specific adjustment, though historical patterns and model verification make such shifts unlikely after the fact.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,234Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**The observed minimum temperature of 61°F at Denver International Airport on September 4, 2026, recorded by the National Weather Service at 5:24 AM MDT, drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 60-61°F bin.** This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological normal low of 54°F by 7°F amid a hot, dry day with a maximum of 93°F, light winds, and no significant precipitation or cloud cover to enhance radiative cooling. Official station data from multiple NWS products, including the daily climate summary and preliminary local climatological data, align on this reading, leaving little room for alternative outcomes. Market-implied odds above 95% for this bin reflect the low uncertainty once preliminary observations confirmed the overnight low. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or station-specific adjustment, though historical patterns and model verification make such shifts unlikely after the fact.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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