Recent polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts as the clear frontrunner for the October 3 Saeima election, with support in the 15–24% range across August surveys, well ahead of Suverēnā vara, Progresīvie, and Latvija pirmajā vietā. This edge stems from Andris Kulbergs serving as prime minister since late May, when his United List helped form a four-party centre-right coalition after the prior government collapsed over defence issues. Traders’ consensus probabilities align closely with these voter-intention figures and the short remaining campaign window, during which no major shifts in coalition dynamics or new scandals have altered the standings. Other parties trail due to lower name recognition or weaker recent momentum, though proportional representation and the 5% threshold leave room for final seat allocations to fluctuate modestly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAS 87.3%
SV 6.5%
PRO 3.4%
LPV 1.7%
$215,865 Wol.
$215,865 Wol.
Oct 2, 2026
AS
87%
SV
7%
PRO
3%
LPV
2%
NA
1%
S
<1%
JV
<1%
ZZS
<1%
ST!
<1%
AS 87.3%
SV 6.5%
PRO 3.4%
LPV 1.7%
$215,865 Wol.
$215,865 Wol.
Oct 2, 2026
AS
$39,183 Wol.
87%
SV
$28,097 Wol.
7%
PRO
$31,598 Wol.
3%
LPV
$26,109 Wol.
2%
NA
$10,303 Wol.
1%
S
$6,655 Wol.
<1%
JV
$13,771 Wol.
<1%
ZZS
$55,279 Wol.
<1%
ST!
$4,870 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts as the clear frontrunner for the October 3 Saeima election, with support in the 15–24% range across August surveys, well ahead of Suverēnā vara, Progresīvie, and Latvija pirmajā vietā. This edge stems from Andris Kulbergs serving as prime minister since late May, when his United List helped form a four-party centre-right coalition after the prior government collapsed over defence issues. Traders’ consensus probabilities align closely with these voter-intention figures and the short remaining campaign window, during which no major shifts in coalition dynamics or new scandals have altered the standings. Other parties trail due to lower name recognition or weaker recent momentum, though proportional representation and the 5% threshold leave room for final seat allocations to fluctuate modestly.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$215,865Data zakończenia
Oct 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts as the clear frontrunner for the October 3 Saeima election, with support in the 15–24% range across August surveys, well ahead of Suverēnā vara, Progresīvie, and Latvija pirmajā vietā. This edge stems from Andris Kulbergs serving as prime minister since late May, when his United List helped form a four-party centre-right coalition after the prior government collapsed over defence issues. Traders’ consensus probabilities align closely with these voter-intention figures and the short remaining campaign window, during which no major shifts in coalition dynamics or new scandals have altered the standings. Other parties trail due to lower name recognition or weaker recent momentum, though proportional representation and the 5% threshold leave room for final seat allocations to fluctuate modestly.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Wolumen
$215,865Data zakończenia
Oct 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts as the clear frontrunner for the October 3 Saeima election, with support in the 15–24% range across August surveys, well ahead of Suverēnā vara, Progresīvie, and Latvija pirmajā vietā. This edge stems from Andris Kulbergs serving as prime minister since late May, when his United List helped form a four-party centre-right coalition after the prior government collapsed over defence issues. Traders’ consensus probabilities align closely with these voter-intention figures and the short remaining campaign window, during which no major shifts in coalition dynamics or new scandals have altered the standings. Other parties trail due to lower name recognition or weaker recent momentum, though proportional representation and the 5% threshold leave room for final seat allocations to fluctuate modestly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
49%
Czy Szwedzka Socjaldemokratyczna Partia Robotnicza (S) zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w szwedzkich wyborach parlamentarnych w 2026 roku?
98%
Tak
Czy Jedna Rosja (ER) zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w następnych wyborach parlamentarnych w Rosji?
99%
Tak
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania