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icon for Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

icon for Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

$1,160,104 Wol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,160,104 Wol.

Polymarket

August 31

$102,688 Wol.

<1%

December 31

$322,815 Wol.

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that under the June 26, 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement with Lebanon, the IDF would conduct limited pilot withdrawals from two small areas—one north of the Litani River recently captured and deemed non-essential, and one south of it—transferring them to Lebanese Armed Forces control as a test of conditions-based redeployment. The deal conditions any broader pullback from the expanded security zone, including territory beyond the Litani, on verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army deployment to prevent militant infrastructure, rather than a fixed timeline. Hezbollah rejected the accord as a sovereignty concession, while Israel has emphasized maintaining the buffer zone indefinitely until threats diminish. Ongoing strikes, Lebanese political divisions, and U.S.-facilitated coordination continue to shape implementation prospects through late 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,160,104
Rynek otwarty
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that under the June 26, 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement with Lebanon, the IDF would conduct limited pilot withdrawals from two small areas—one north of the Litani River recently captured and deemed non-essential, and one south of it—transferring them to Lebanese Armed Forces control as a test of conditions-based redeployment. The deal conditions any broader pullback from the expanded security zone, including territory beyond the Litani, on verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army deployment to prevent militant infrastructure, rather than a fixed timeline. Hezbollah rejected the accord as a sovereignty concession, while Israel has emphasized maintaining the buffer zone indefinitely until threats diminish. Ongoing strikes, Lebanese political divisions, and U.S.-facilitated coordination continue to shape implementation prospects through late 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,160,104
Rynek otwarty
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "December 31" z 11%, za nim "August 31" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 11¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 11% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?" wygenerował $1.2 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jun 7, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?" jest "December 31" z 11%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 11% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "August 31" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.