Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as Open-Meteo and ICON-EU indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Warsaw on September 21 amid widespread light rain and westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This follows several warmer days earlier in September, with the approaching frontal system suppressing daytime heating and limiting the peak well below seasonal averages near 18°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 11–17°C reflects modest ensemble spread and typical model uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation, while probabilities below 10°C or above 18°C remain minimal given current steering patterns. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 21?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 21?
14°C 36%
16°C 30%
15°C 23%
17°C 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
4%
11°C
5%
12°C
4%
13°C
18%
14°C
36%
15°C
23%
16°C
30%
17°C
23%
18°C
19%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
4%
14°C 36%
16°C 30%
15°C 23%
17°C 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
11°C
$0 Wol.
5%
12°C
$0 Wol.
4%
13°C
$0 Wol.
18%
14°C
$0 Wol.
36%
15°C
$4 Wol.
23%
16°C
$0 Wol.
30%
17°C
$0 Wol.
23%
18°C
$0 Wol.
19%
19°C
$0 Wol.
4%
20°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as Open-Meteo and ICON-EU indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Warsaw on September 21 amid widespread light rain and westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This follows several warmer days earlier in September, with the approaching frontal system suppressing daytime heating and limiting the peak well below seasonal averages near 18°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 11–17°C reflects modest ensemble spread and typical model uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation, while probabilities below 10°C or above 18°C remain minimal given current steering patterns. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$4Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as Open-Meteo and ICON-EU indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Warsaw on September 21 amid widespread light rain and westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This follows several warmer days earlier in September, with the approaching frontal system suppressing daytime heating and limiting the peak well below seasonal averages near 18°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 11–17°C reflects modest ensemble spread and typical model uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation, while probabilities below 10°C or above 18°C remain minimal given current steering patterns. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as Open-Meteo and ICON-EU indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Warsaw on September 21 amid widespread light rain and westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This follows several warmer days earlier in September, with the approaching frontal system suppressing daytime heating and limiting the peak well below seasonal averages near 18°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 11–17°C reflects modest ensemble spread and typical model uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation, while probabilities below 10°C or above 18°C remain minimal given current steering patterns. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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