Recent forecast model runs show moderate uncertainty for Wuhan's September 21 maximum temperature, with ensemble guidance clustering between 26–29°C amid variable cloud cover and a chance of showers or thunderstorms. Persistent cloudiness limits daytime solar heating and reduces the likelihood of reaching the upper end of climatological norms for late September, while clearer intervals or stronger southerly flow could support 28°C readings. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine the exact daily high, and the close market-implied odds around 26–28°C reflect this narrow spread in guidance rather than any single dominant outcome. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date will likely refine the range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 21?
26°C 25%
24°C or below 23%
28°C 21%
27°C 16%
24°C or below
23%
25°C
13%
26°C
22%
27°C
16%
28°C
21%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
26°C 25%
24°C or below 23%
28°C 21%
27°C 16%
24°C or below
23%
25°C
13%
26°C
22%
27°C
16%
28°C
21%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs show moderate uncertainty for Wuhan's September 21 maximum temperature, with ensemble guidance clustering between 26–29°C amid variable cloud cover and a chance of showers or thunderstorms. Persistent cloudiness limits daytime solar heating and reduces the likelihood of reaching the upper end of climatological norms for late September, while clearer intervals or stronger southerly flow could support 28°C readings. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine the exact daily high, and the close market-implied odds around 26–28°C reflect this narrow spread in guidance rather than any single dominant outcome. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date will likely refine the range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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