Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and Time and Date indicate Warsaw highs near 26°C on August 9 under scattered clouds and light winds, aligning with late-summer climatology where average daily maxima reach 23–25°C. This positions 25°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, followed closely by 26°C, as current model consensus favors moderate temperatures without strong high-pressure ridges or warm advection to push extremes. Minor variations in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes toward 24°C or 27°C, though historical August records show such deviations are less common this late in the season. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these trader assessments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 9?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 9?
25°C 47%
26°C 28%
24°C 18%
27°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
18%
25°C
47%
26°C
28%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 28%
24°C 18%
27°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
21°C or below
$460 Wol.
1%
22°C
$762 Wol.
1%
23°C
$308 Wol.
2%
24°C
$1,153 Wol.
18%
25°C
$969 Wol.
47%
26°C
$556 Wol.
28%
27°C
$369 Wol.
4%
28°C
$470 Wol.
2%
29°C
$238 Wol.
1%
30°C
$296 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$426 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and Time and Date indicate Warsaw highs near 26°C on August 9 under scattered clouds and light winds, aligning with late-summer climatology where average daily maxima reach 23–25°C. This positions 25°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, followed closely by 26°C, as current model consensus favors moderate temperatures without strong high-pressure ridges or warm advection to push extremes. Minor variations in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes toward 24°C or 27°C, though historical August records show such deviations are less common this late in the season. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these trader assessments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,006Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and Time and Date indicate Warsaw highs near 26°C on August 9 under scattered clouds and light winds, aligning with late-summer climatology where average daily maxima reach 23–25°C. This positions 25°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, followed closely by 26°C, as current model consensus favors moderate temperatures without strong high-pressure ridges or warm advection to push extremes. Minor variations in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes toward 24°C or 27°C, though historical August records show such deviations are less common this late in the season. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these trader assessments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,006Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and Time and Date indicate Warsaw highs near 26°C on August 9 under scattered clouds and light winds, aligning with late-summer climatology where average daily maxima reach 23–25°C. This positions 25°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, followed closely by 26°C, as current model consensus favors moderate temperatures without strong high-pressure ridges or warm advection to push extremes. Minor variations in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes toward 24°C or 27°C, though historical August records show such deviations are less common this late in the season. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these trader assessments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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