Recent model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather places Tel Aviv's August 9 coastal maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the long-term seasonal average of 32°C and typical Mediterranean summer high-pressure patterns that limit extreme deviations. No active heatwave persists after early August conditions, reducing odds of 34°C or higher while supporting the 66% market-implied probability for 33°C as the most likely outcome. Minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities toward 32°C if onshore flow strengthens overnight, with final resolution dependent on official 24-hour maximum readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 9?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 9?
33°C 67%
32°C 24%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
24%
33°C
67%
34°C
11%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 67%
32°C 24%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
$439 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$492 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$446 Wol.
2%
32°C
$1,050 Wol.
24%
33°C
$1,770 Wol.
67%
34°C
$906 Wol.
11%
35°C
$591 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$747 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$294 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$507 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$389 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather places Tel Aviv's August 9 coastal maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the long-term seasonal average of 32°C and typical Mediterranean summer high-pressure patterns that limit extreme deviations. No active heatwave persists after early August conditions, reducing odds of 34°C or higher while supporting the 66% market-implied probability for 33°C as the most likely outcome. Minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities toward 32°C if onshore flow strengthens overnight, with final resolution dependent on official 24-hour maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,632Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather places Tel Aviv's August 9 coastal maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the long-term seasonal average of 32°C and typical Mediterranean summer high-pressure patterns that limit extreme deviations. No active heatwave persists after early August conditions, reducing odds of 34°C or higher while supporting the 66% market-implied probability for 33°C as the most likely outcome. Minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities toward 32°C if onshore flow strengthens overnight, with final resolution dependent on official 24-hour maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,632Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather places Tel Aviv's August 9 coastal maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the long-term seasonal average of 32°C and typical Mediterranean summer high-pressure patterns that limit extreme deviations. No active heatwave persists after early August conditions, reducing odds of 34°C or higher while supporting the 66% market-implied probability for 33°C as the most likely outcome. Minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities toward 32°C if onshore flow strengthens overnight, with final resolution dependent on official 24-hour maximum readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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